Personal data stored in banks/ISPs/FB/Google etc are taken at gun point and used for population scale psychological warfare.
Kissinger(World Order)/Niall Ferguson(Square and the Tower)/Graham Allison(Thucydides Trap)/Moises Naim(End of Power) say networks of power are more and more unstable similar to 1914.
To maintain stability they(irrespective of ideology) keep pandering to their fan clubs and therefore get more and more inflexible.
Small triggers turn into national and then international conflict between major powers.
Kissenger's reasons -
1 The international economic system has become global the political structure of the world has remained based on the nation-state.
2. Acquiescing in the proliferation of nuclear weapons far beyond the Cold War club, so multiplying the possibilities of nuclear confrontation.
3. The new realm of cyberspace, in which asymmetry and a kind of congenital world disorder are built into relations between powers
The last time it took 30 years 1914-1945, after about 100 years of peace between the world powers, for everyone to take a breath and reboot to happen.
This time around the reboot should be much quicker. The nukes will get dropped faster, because thanks to tech all the major powers can do serious damage to each other very fast as soon as things escalate beyond control.
WWII gets all the press, but a WWI scenario seems much more likely and tragic.
WWII had an active aggressor.
WWI was just a chain reaction of alliances acting out their obligations. I had a nightmare about trench warfare and the futility of it all just the other day.
A weird situation though is that socially we're closer to the 1920's-30's, whereas geopolitically it's much more like the 1900's-10's. Weird how history repeats itself, never quite the same, and I won't fall for numerology, and yet. Here we are.
Personal data stored in banks/ISPs/FB/Google etc are taken at gun point and used for population scale psychological warfare.
Kissinger(World Order)/Niall Ferguson(Square and the Tower)/Graham Allison(Thucydides Trap)/Moises Naim(End of Power) say networks of power are more and more unstable similar to 1914.
To maintain stability they(irrespective of ideology) keep pandering to their fan clubs and therefore get more and more inflexible.
Small triggers turn into national and then international conflict between major powers.
Kissenger's reasons - 1 The international economic system has become global the political structure of the world has remained based on the nation-state. 2. Acquiescing in the proliferation of nuclear weapons far beyond the Cold War club, so multiplying the possibilities of nuclear confrontation. 3. The new realm of cyberspace, in which asymmetry and a kind of congenital world disorder are built into relations between powers
The last time it took 30 years 1914-1945, after about 100 years of peace between the world powers, for everyone to take a breath and reboot to happen.
This time around the reboot should be much quicker. The nukes will get dropped faster, because thanks to tech all the major powers can do serious damage to each other very fast as soon as things escalate beyond control.