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Isn't this exactly what LLMs themselves do? They ingest other people's data and reproduce a slightly modified version of it. That allows AI companies to claim the work is transformative and thus fair use.

3) If I won't do it, someone even worse will.

The source is a company that works with Polymarket and sells Polymarket data (as well as Kalshi and other gambling platforms).

Marginal revolution has been talking up prediction markets since before they existed. In fact polymarket probably was created after its founder read Cowen's thoughts on prediction markets.

The findings are consistent with academic research that these markets are well calibrated.

Could be, you should reference the academic research then.

I don't see why UBI would necessarily be an increase of income for everyone. It could be that, but it could also be a decrease in hours worked, or a more equal distribution of wealth, or any combination of these.

I don't want a higher income, I want to benefit from the productivity gains I and everyone else made happen by having more time to do things I like.


> I don't want a higher income, I want to benefit from the productivity gains I and everyone else made happen by having more time to do things I like.

Why don't you just do that now and work half the amount of hours you're currently working?


> Why don't you just do that now and work half the amount of hours you're currently working?

Show me the job like mine where this is an option, and I'll take it in a second. Hire another me and we'll split duties.

These sorts of "professional job that pays a professional hourly rate but is for 20 hours a week" are exceedingly rare. You'll usually be taking far less than 50% pay - far worse if you include benefits in the calculation.

I've been halfway keeping my eye open for such an opportunity so I could fund the basics of my life, plus have time to do personal projects with utterly no chance of monetary payback. Just stuff like paint the house, teach myself how to weld, work on backyard art, volunteer, etc.

I could certainly find a job that pays 50% of what I get now for working the same number of hours though. Perhaps moderately less stress and no "off hours" chance of being called in for an emergency. But that's not a great tradeoff since I'm looking to trade money for time.

This may not be the point you're making, but it really is sort of frustrating this isn't an option. I get why - I employ folks too and understand the overheads involved - but man it's the dream!


The biggest opportunity for it is to work for yourself as a consultant or other hired gun at $X an hour; and just only schedule half-work.

Money.

More precisely: purchasing power.

And that's my point.

Your purchasing power will not change.


If we worked fewer hours for the same pay, our purchasing power would remain the same. I'm not saying there won't be any disruption at all, but we did it before with the five-day work week.

If "we" means everyone, yes. But the reality is there is a sufficient number of people willing to work more to earn more, and therefore they will raise prices of everything which destroys your purchasing power.

Your purchasing power is defined in a competitive equilibrium with your peers.

If you're assuming you can band everyone together to all decide to work fewer hours for the same pay, fine, but you just invented a union, not an improvement to UBI.


There are people working 80-hour weeks now. I don't think "some people want as much money as possible" is the basis of how we should think of labour. Plenty of middle-class workers will be happy to work fewer hours if they can maintain their current lifestyles.

> If you're assuming you can band everyone together to all decide to work fewer hours for the same pay, fine, but you just invented a union, not an improvement to UBI.

Why should this come solely via unions? I elect people to represent me, and I want those people to tax AI/tech companies and their beneficiaries, and return some of the wealth they've generated to the people it's been extracted from. The entire point of UBI is that it's universal, including in industries poorer and more vulnerable workers who can't self-organise work in.


I still do that for almost everything.

JS-rendered websites are sometimes even better, they usually have some sort of internal API that you can access directly instead of relying on the website styling which may change at any moment.

I'm a fellow reporter who needs to keep tabs on some websites. I used various tools, including running my own Klaxon[1] instance, but these days I find it easier to just quickly vibe-code a crawler and use GitHub Actions to run it periodically. You can make it output an RSS feed, email you, archive it with archive.today, take a screenshot, or trigger whatever action you want.

1: https://github.com/themarshallproject/klaxon


1. "it isn't x, it's y".

2. Repeated short phrases ("Tests still passed. Build still passed."). This is the new "it's not x, it's y" for me.

3. Ends on a sentence that pointlessly summarises the comment.

4. One-day old account.

5. Bio says "Building AI"

6. Criticises AI despite the bio.

7. Pangram says the comment is 100% AI.

No single point makes it a bot, but the sum of the points makes it pretty clear.


Yep, there are some other tells but at least matches LLM style strongly. Worth remembering that dang is the top emdash user in HN history and might have been flagged as an AI just for that

I agree, I think this is AI, especially based on 1 and 2. It's hard to put your finger on, and I don't know if we can know for sure. It reminds me of the writing style you see on LinkedIn i.e. seemingly optimised for engagement.

If they're not already, I wonder if LLMs will get better at disguising this (avoiding the tells, inserting mistakes etc.)

I also wonder if there comes a point where we as a culture imitate this style.


TBH, I don't like AI-generated content much too, X and many other platforms were also flooded with those, which I tend to ignore. I guess I also fall into the rabbit hole myself with the aid of AI nowadays.

They're not naming them because they haven't been able to confirm the wrongdoing, not because they can't publish the names of DOGE employees.

DOGE was headhunting me late July through end of December.

Their recruiters are all anonymous when they reach out as they do not provide their names. I constantly questioned to myself and them directly if they were legit even if their email address showed as RecruitingUSDS@doge.eop.gov (their public email address seen on USDS). The first recruiter I demanded a video call with and asked him to bob and weave his head (lol). He never gave me his last name (all his emails came from that public address and they signed their emails with first name only) but I found him on Linkedin. He was late 20s to late 30s. From there I was asked to do/turned in a case study and after the govt shutdown I was invited to interview with a DOGE employee whom then her email showed her full name. I didnt make it past her as there was another step in their process which is an in person interview at USDS's office or within another govt agency DOGE working at.




Their entire raison d'être is to make Sailfish OS (non-Android Linux) phones. I'm happy they're doing it. Graphene OS is great but it's just another Android ROM and still dependent on Google.

They could have done both. GrapheneOS is as dependent on google as their android app compatibility layrr, if I had to guess.

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