> here everyone calls you a physician even though you only work with animals
Just an aside, but that is a gigantic undersell of veterinarians. The difficulties of becoming one aside, just seeing that "humans-only" doctors only work on one kind of ape, compared to the many very different kinds of life forms a veterinarian has to deal with (of course they specialize too), I don't understand why one would think a veterinarian would deserve the word "only".
Do you have proof, or do you just happen to feel this way without actually knowing any background story? If you make such an accusation you should state your reasons, preferably observable facts. Both "hacker" and "news" are generic terms after all.
In addition, even if they did mimic the name, I would not see a problem. It's very descriptive, unlike a completely made-up word that someone spent a lot of effort on to establish as a brand.
I think that's not a great comparison. Hacker News is still essentially a niche site known to people who care about a specific set of fields relevant to startups. If you asked a random person on the street they probably wouldn't know about Y Combinator, much less Hacker News.
I'm not sure how to measure the actual level of recognition of a brand name, but I feel that Hacker News falls into the second or third tier of whatever that ranking is, whereas names like Facebook or Google form the top tier. That, combined with the relatively generic name, make me inclined to believe without further evidence that it's a coincidence - especially given the fact that the site is actually about news related to hacking, or hacker news.
A closer comparison I can think of is if I saw a watch company called "The International Watch Company". The real IWC is a luxury watch company, but the brand and its full name aren't known to many people. In that case too, my opinion is that the name is generic enough for it to feel like an honest coincidence.
In the "The International Watch Company" case, I'd expect a trademark search prior to naming the company. In the "The Hacker News" case, I'd expect at least a Google search to check for confusing/conflicting names in the same space.
In either of the above cases, a Google search turns up the conflicting name as the #1 organic hit, precluding my judgment of an honest coincidence, but I understand your position.
> This site, with the name "Hacker News", was already popular
You mean, with the name "ycombinator", right? I remember accessing this site a few times in the (distant) past and was a little confused as to what it was and what it was "selling" (based on the actual frontpage).
I'd check out https://ycombinator.com/ and assumed the news subdomain was a forum or some '1337' thing.
I say this as a slashdotter, digger, redditor (and others) - all of whom have and always had brand naming. I'd say that over the last couple of years, HN has crossed a bridge into the mass market. Before then... it was niche.
And it redirects there today, so you’d have to buy it back from Facebook for an exorbitant sum of money to do anything with it, then promptly get sued.
Yeah, when I was a college freshman in the 1970s, I got a printed directory of my classmates' names and photos which was informally called the "Face Book". By that time, it was already an old tradition.
What happens if "everyone" does it and now you compete not with a few but with hundreds, thousands? Will you still do and feel so good? Does your suggestions scale if it is applied not just to a few? What makes you think you can just multiply your particular personal situation by [insert any number here] and it will still work?
I think having higher skilled people of all ages would remove this meme of <age> you'll be unemployable. I don't see a down side to having a more employable and educated work force, I do see a down side to the converse which is being played out at the moment imho.
The attitude of 'if everyone does well, then it makes my life harder' I find regrettable. Again, I suspect this is a minority view.
Edit: Imagine the situation where education is freely available, where people have a life long love of learning. Where companies allow their employees to go to classes of all sorts. Wouldn't that be a great world. The one we have now is sort of the opposite. The strange part is this could all be done now, all it takes is a political will. Damn commies I suppose.
Also, another confusion of "anyone" vs. "everyone". The English language has those two distinct words, unlike my own native language, so English speakers should actually be at an advantage here. Any time someone comes up with an example that (in an idealized universe, but let's grant them the unrealistic assumption because it does not even affect the final result) would work for anyone, make a check if it works for everyone, meaning what would happen if everyone actually did just that.
I think such huge levels of new "entrepreneurs" just means you get something like "Uber jobs". All the risk of being on your own but none of the benefits of being part of a large organization. Even if every single new entrepreneur were to cure one kind of cancer - how many such people are needed before the ROI on a cure for a cancer form is down to pennies? Just to use an extreme example where every single person actually is a genius. Now imagine what happens when most people are ordinary. Not to mention that actual monetization of cures for forms of cancer can only be handled by - large companies! It seems to me to be quite clear, given the complexity of what needs to be done in today's world economy (vs. shoe makers or smiths or XYZ makers in centuries past who could happily work alone or with just family) that most people in the economy should be employed and part of large(r) organizations. If everybody is an individual (entrepreneur) this would not fit into how modern society works, solving complex tasks in a tight network of people.
To me it's like propagating a mostly bacteria world because multicellular organisms, where individuals give up most of their autonomy and prefer to be part of a big organization, are somehow "bad" (and cancer cells, breaking out of the organization to follow their own path, are somehow rebels fighting for freedom?). To me, people giving up many of their freedoms to work in a higher-level form of organization is something positive, and I think we actually need more of it. The problem is that, following the multicellular organism analogy, today's organisms (firms) are quite hostile towards their own cells (workers). Too narrow-minded. They could (allowed to) be that way - if the parent organization, the state, would jump in and provide the safety instead, on the (even) higher level. For the unbelievable wealth (in tools, knowledge, infrastructure, processes, networks) that at least part of humanity has accumulated and achieved I think we have waaayyyyy too much risk completely unnecessarily put on individuals, for no good reason. We could easily give everyone food and shelter and some basics. To me, much of that pressure on people is completely artificial. "Sure, we could feed you, but we won't because you are unworthy."
1) most ordinary entrepreneurs can find plenty of work handling finished goods, e.g. FBA. It’s the capital that is needed for them to start which is a problem for those who would rather buy a mortgage, vacation, etc. than build a business.
2) I find your opinion of a corporate social contract terrifying. If anything, entrepreneurialism is necessary for the ex nihilo creation of labor demand to keep society stable.
Your 1) Please read again, this does not fit to anything I wrote. Especially the main point, that inconvenient "anybody" vs. "everybody" thing that you completely ignore.
Your 2) This too has nothing at all to do with what I wrote. You respond to whatever strange visions appear in your own mind. I'm very sorry for you if you find the idea that people who are down and/or out are getting help so frightening, that non-rich people don't have to live in fear. And if you want to point to the "overachievers" - again see my main point and answer those points (first you have to actually notice and acknowledge them, of which there is no sign even though it was the main point of my post, "anybody" vs. "everybody").
1) “Just to use an extreme example where every single person actually is a genius. Now imagine what happens when most people are ordinary.”
My capitalization caveat for ordinary entrepreneurs was to preempt the response that ordinary people can’t afford to quit their day jobs.
2) “To me, people giving up many of their freedoms to work in a higher-level form of organization is something positive, and I think we actually need more of it.”
I disagreed. We need more disagreeableness in society and less conformity. Anyone can but not everyone will ;).
Dynamodb is better in cases where we want to localize the latency of our regional lambdas.
RDS for everything else like dashboard entity storage etc..
Cloudwatch prints logs, kinesis takes the log to s3 where it's transformed in batches with lambda then data is moved to Redshift.
Redshift for stats/reports.
Converted whole ad network to Serverless.
Used Rust Lambda runtime for CPU intensive tasks.
Using Go for the rest of the Lambdas.
I love Go and Rust and optimizing just one Lambda at a time brought back the programme joy in my life
Used Apex+Terrform to manage whole infra for the ad network.
We managed to deploy Lambda in all AWS regions ensuring minium latency for the ad viewers.
The thing which took over 50 (tech side only) person team, now takes 10 people to run the whole ad network.
Network is doing 20M profit per year/9 billion clicks per day.
It's my greatest achievement so far because we made it from scratch without any investor money.
But one the other side, we'll have to shrink our team size next year as growth opportunity is limited and we want to optimize efficiency further.
Did you mean 9 billion clicks or impressions daily?
50 person team to run an adnetwork on tech side only? I am really curious why did it take that many people before going to Lambdas. We are in the adtech space also and there is a 5 persons team (on-call ops+2 devs) to run our own datacollection, third party data providers, RTB doing half a million QPS and own adservers doing hundreds of millions of impressions daily.
Sounds really interesting, kudos for building a profitable business from scratch. I have no experience with redshift, we mostly use the ELK stack, so Kibana do to all the log analysis. Is redshift significantly better?
So what is the alternative? Maintaining your own infrastructure like we did before "cloud" providers, i.e. your own dedicated servers in managed locations unless you were huge enough to have your own locations? Or just a different cloud provider? It is hard to check if your suggestion is any better since you only say "don't do that", but not what else to do instead...
> unless you were huge enough to have your own locations
Those locations are millions, sometimes hundreds of millions of dollars investments with backup power generators large enough to provide power to a comfortably sized village. So, "large enough to a) need and b) able to afford owning such a location just for your own needs", e.g. Google, Amazon. Even companies like large banks have their servers co-hosted in a separate section but in the location owned by a 3rd party co-hosting provider. To own one you either are one of those providers or you are in the "Google tier". For the purposes of the current context, the linked article, one would even need to have multiple such locations all over the world. I think that qualifies as "huge" (the company owning such infrastructure just to run their own servers, co-hosting firms do it for others).
Then you're screwed I suppose. To do that they'd likely be performing some sort of replay attack, in which case you should be mitigating against this. There's no magic bullet anywhere.
That sounds like a great way to make her resent playing an instrument when she's grown up.
I learned (soprano and alto) recorder when I was young, in evening classes at a music school (East Germany), and started learning to play violin a few years ago (which turned out to be _the_ instrument for me, I can't stop and after a few years I know it's not short term). I had always practiced a bit on the recorder on and off. Fortunately nobody had forced me to continue music school. When I was young I had sooo many other interests. Being told what to do can hardly be a recipe to create a person that acts on their own? Sounds more like a recipe of trying to educate somebody who follows orders well.
As far as I know almost all of the top musicians were forced to practice for long hours starting from a very young age. If you want your child to become a good musician it seems almost necessary to do so. Most children of course eventually stop playing because they don't like it, but those who don't tend to be thankful for the forced practice.
There is an incredible number of norms you and most everybody else adheres to every single day. Some of them even obviously ridiculous and without any objective basis, like "don't wear white socks and sandals". Nobody charges you money, not even if you ignore such norms. And yet you comply - and the corset of cultural norms is far tighter than you realize (unless you start thinking about it, but even then it's hard to see from the inside how many rules you actually follow, by now quite voluntarily).
The human world outside "money" is far larger and the bonds also far stronger than inside of it, I would claim. It's just that one is mostly subconscious and the other one very often requires conscious attention, so guess which one you always notice.
The rules you mention are very localized, and granular on sub-social level. Me & my friends across the country may follow similar rules, but my next-door neighbours will follow different rules.
Alas, money is always an overriding concern. Your adherence to local cultural regulations may or may not buy you good karma, but that karma is not redeemable beyond your current social group. You won't pay for supplies out of it, and you won't build your house with it. But you can do that with money, regardless of where you are. So money tends to displace everything else out of sheer utility. Of course it can't substitute for every social interaction, but then you also don't want to run scarcity economy on karma.
> but my next-door neighbours will follow different rules.
Some rules are different, many are not.
> Alas, money is always an overriding concern.
No it isn't, see what I wrote.
Your entire comment is an amazing display of cluelessness about the forces acting on you. Cultural norms are a FAR bigger factor. Yes you don't realize it, see what I wrote.
You are also quite confused about what is being discussed. What is that about building houses and buying stuff? If the topic is too difficult for you, just don't comment, posting incoherent random thoughts is useless. Yes, we indeed use money in the economy, great insight.
Humans care about norms. Corporations as aggregate entities just care about money. You can influence the people in a corporation with norms, but that doesn’t mean that you can influence the corporation itself with norms.
Corporate boards are elected by their shareholders specifically to optimize for profitability above and beyond any other criteria. (Which is hard work! That’s why “corporate board-member” is a paid gig—it requires hard mental self-trickery to get into that mindset, plus a lot of cognitive dissonance to stay in that mindset, and those both take a lot out of you, emotionally.)
A good example of this: recycling. Social norms have caused people within corporations to favour recycling, and so, for example, office managers will implement recycling and waste-reduction programs, where employees must sort their waste into bins, etc.
But this is entirely uncoupled from whether the corporation itself will implement recycling on an industrial scale. Most of the corporations that have recycling bins in their hallways, don’t have any recycling or waste-reduction programs going for their products or services, or for the manufacturing and logistics pipelines serving them. If norms were enough to influence corporations to do so, they’d have long done so; society has been pushing corporations to care about the environment, in every way we can think of, since the 1970s.
But look at it from the corporation’s perspective: a few bins for the office, and a contract with a recycling company to empty them, just makes the “offices” line-item cost a tiny bit more. It’s an eensy-weensy operational expense. But doing something like Apple does, where they design their phones to not include non-recyclable materials, and accept them back for trade-in specifically to recycle the components? That’s something that requires large capital expenditures to implement, and so that’s something you have to convince your shareholders is worth doing.
And, if you’re a public company, your shareholders probably aren’t humans themselves, but rather other corporations like mutual-fund management houses. And those companies are operating under the principle that their goal is to make their fund participants high returns—not to invest in ways that those fund participants would prefer, or even find ethical.
The social more is never going to take effect, because (public) corporations have boards of people who are paid to only think about money, and shareholders who are also mostly corporations with boards paid to think solely of the profitability of their investments. Never do human preferences or human norms enter into the board’s equation for “what should the corporation do, from a top-down perspective.” Public corporations are about as able to be influenced by human norms as an alien or an AI. (They can be influenced if their workers form a union and then that union strikes to express its disagreement with the corporation over some social norm. But that’s less about the corporation “understanding” or “appreciating” the norm, and more about how an organism under threat will do things it doesn’t want to do to appease a predator.)
---
Tangent: The only reason Apple “gets away with” having an industrial recycling program, is that they’ve made it into a feature of their product, part of its marketing, in a way that appeals to their particular user-base (i.e. upper-middle-class people who usually have some guilt over how their purchasing affects the environment.) They used this “increased appeal to our customer-base -> increased sales” argument to convince those corporate share-holders to okay the program.
That situation, though, is pretty unique. Most companies in the world aren’t selling expensive, “trendy” items, with the kind of customer-base that “we implemented a recycling program for our product” or “we reduced our factories’ emissions” would appeal to. And even the ones that are, aren’t necessarily selling the majority of units into cultures with norms like our own; Chinese manufacturers, for example, might be able to establish a recycling program for goods sold abroad, but they likely won’t get much uptake for a recycling program for goods sold domestically in China. If that’s where their board and their shareholders reside, then that recycling program (and associated CapEx) is just not gonna happen.
As the blog post rightly said, they present 538 present the forecast in a way that they are never wrong. I can see the point. I also fond the comparison of NFL vs. Senate forecasts meaningful. This kind of "forecasting" seems to be the current version of crystal balling and astrology. They (models) don't really know anything (no causation, and definitely nothing close to an actual model of the real world like in physics). It's a bit like high-performing fund manager sand CEOs who fail to replicate their successes after they were crowned "person of the year", depending on what exactly they forecast a bit better than that because even without having any models that model actual causation, since the world is pretty stable overall (compared to what the universe could throw at us) even correlations may hold for a while.
As for the "50/50" here, I don't think this is meant as being exact numbers (after all, the whole point of the issue is that those exact numbers don't really tell you anything, if anything still is possible and any outcome can be justified later), but simply as the common usage of a phrase in the vernacular for "we don't know either way".
> As the blog post rightly said, they present 538 present the forecast in a way that they are never wrong.
The whole point of probabilistic modeling is to replace absolute decisions like "right or wrong" by continuous weights on the possibilities. If you absolutely need a definite decision, you can sample a prediction according to the probability assigned by the model. If the true outcome is x and the model assigned it probability p, then that procedure is going to be wrong (1-p) of the time. You could define that number as the "wrongness" of the probabilistic model, as a continuous analog of the definite case.
The advantage of probabilistic modeling is that you can also ask how wrong the model expects to be and get a meaningful answer. If there are many possible outcomes and none of them very likely, any choice is going to be wrong a lot. But you should expect a good model to have a small difference between its expected and actual wrongness. One might call that value "honesty".
The whole point about the current topic as well as of my post: You missed by about a thousand miles. Please read it again. It's really pointless to argue about a strawman created by you. Your model is useless, that's the point! It makes no real(!) predictions - not usable for anything apart from blowing ever more hot air, and if it doesn't come to pass, you are never wrong because you left the door open by not actually saying anything in the first place.
Do you not understand that the guy/his company did nothing at all? And that giving some arbitrary probability was/is utterly devoid of any meaning (especially if you can't be wrong whatever the actual outcome)? They could have made any prediction at all, what difference would it have made? That is the value of that "work".
However, I realize there's people who like such meaningless drivel. It is a version of appearing to actually do something while not actually doing anything. You make it into the news but you can never be held accountable because whatever happens happens, you just helped create a few more entirely useless headlines (apart from helping with page views and ad impressions of course). It's actually quite ingenious to misuse actually useful tools like statistics.
So, and now go back and read what I wrote until you understand it. There is no point to this whole thing (apart from creating clicks for the attention industry). It has no impact (again apart from creating clicks). There is no outcome that hinges on anything. They can claim whatever, whether they are right or wrong matters for absolutely nothing. The creation of attention and clicks is completely independent - it happens before the "forecast" event. Great business where outcomes don't matter.
It's a link about how we can assess how good a job someone is doing at making probabilistic predictions. I had (maybe wrongly) assumed the relevance was obvious.
One argument in favor of such an interpretation is that anytime somebody posts such an anecdote, and in various contexts that happens not infrequently, there is one giant thing all those story tellers forget: That everybody else only sees their side of the story, and that posting something that looks so one-sided "everybody was being stupid but me" is better not posted at all because of how unbelievable it looks, even if it indeed is true. If they had any good level of people-understanding they would in my humble opinion be much wiser to not tell the story here, or at least not make it look so one-sided, or add some disclaimers showing some self-awareness that shows they at least considered that they themselves are a key part of the problem. It reminds me of that joke of the guy who is driving a car on the autobahn and hears a warning on traffic radio about a wrong-way driver right where he is driving. "Only one?" he says to himself, "Hundreds!"
Your comment and many of the siblings just read to me as random victim blaming. "Oh, you were mistreated at work? I bet you are lying and incompetent and were actually entirely at fault."
the parent is relaying their personal experience, why would they have to add disclaimers about one-sidedness? A forum like this is literally just people telling "their side" on various topics.
I've been mistreated at work and find the parent comment very believable. If you haven't been, then you are either young or lucky. Good for you but please don't just discount other people's experiences.
In the modern economy, most money takes the form of bank
deposits. But how those bank deposits are created is often
misunderstood: the principal way is through commercial
banks making loans. Whenever a bank makes a loan, it
simultaneously creates a matching deposit in the
borrower’s bank account, thereby creating new money.
The reality of how money is created today differs from the
description found in some economics textbooks:
• Rather than banks receiving deposits when households
save and then lending them out, bank lending creates
deposits.
• In normal times, the central bank does not fix the amount
of money in circulation, nor is central bank money
‘multiplied up’ into more loans and deposits.
I don't understand your comment, especially the "distract" part.
First, it isn't false at all, commercial banks create money, just as they say in the paper. Second, if you make the bold claim that the people of the Bank of England wrote a paper that is false you should provide more than a single sentence - especially when commenting here on HN.
Ok, since you rightly are asking for more details, I will try to explain my position. First, the disclaimer, I'm not an economics major, but I have read enough to understand things like the Bretton Woods system, the transition to the petrodollar, the transition period to the Federal Reserve, IMF and World Bank. So I'm just a layman with a particular interest in the higher-level view of how banking, in particular, central banking on a national and international scale, operates. I'm always open to learning more or being corrected, because it's a huge very insular group that's hard to get good info from on certain things (see: Libor scandal).
So, your original response is to someone who said their understanding was "that reserve banks create money out of thin air", so that is the foundation of our discussion at the moment. Your response on the surface feels like a refutation of that assertion, largely resting not on content necessarily but on the weight of authority that is the BoE. Essentially, what I was trying to say is that I don't think it refutes the person you were responding to, mostly because it is some very carefully crafted wording the obscures instead of reveals the truth of the matter.
A quick dissection would go as follows: while technically correct about loans showing up as deposits in accounts and thereby creating money, it ignores the basis for those loans, which is the fractional reserve system itself. It is FRB [1] that was what spawned the system of creating those deposits based on mathematical rules such as the fractional reserve rate [3] (which many people tend to think of as being 10%, though it is often not true these days). A very crude summary of that system is this; if all deposits (created money, as according to the BoE document) are 100% of a banks money, they are only required to actually have in reserve 10% of that. Therefore, the person you are responding to is essentially right. Banks create money out of thin air by entering it on systems, even when they don't actually "have" that money to lend. The reserve rate was thought of as a minimal protection required in order to assist in preventing runs on the bank if too many depositors requested their money at the same time (because, as per the reserve system, the bank doesnt actually have all that money at any one given time). So in America for example, this is the foundation of the Federal Reserve system, wherein member banks (not all banks are) then have promises of assistance from the regional reserve bank (of which there are 12, with NY Fed being the titular head of the system), so that if your local bank gets close to a "bank run" level, that regional reserve bank will inject funds to them temporarily in order to create stability, which was part of the original mandate of the Federal Reserve.
In the response you quote, the wording might lend one to understand otherwise, and that the fractional reserve system no longer works that way, especially with the patronizing ending sentence of the first paragraph about how "some economics textbooks" differ from how money is created today. I can practically hear some posh accent with an upturned nose dripping that sentence out with disdain. Silly plebs, trying to understand banking. The part about "distraction" is that it seems the bankers don't actually want people to understand how banking really works on the underside, as it is actually in their interest to obfuscate it for various reasons.
Given what I've said so far, I'm therefore not sure how the statement: "Rather than banks receiving deposits when households save and then lending them out, bank lending creates deposits.", nor the ending of the following sentence, "or is central bank money ‘multiplied up’ into more loans and deposits" can be actually accurate. I assume there is some word trickery I am failing to understand, (see: NSA on what "collection" means) because otherwise it seems flat out wrong. I am better versed though in the American system, so perhaps there is some nuance of the English system I am unaware of. (but it is worth remembering that the American system was founded upon the British/European system, when post 1907 Knickerbocker crash congress sent a delegation to hobnob with the central bankers of Europe to learn how they did things, which was largely the basis for the Aldrich and later Federal Reserve bills)
> The fractional reserve theory where the money supply is limited by the money multiplier has come under increased criticism since the financial crisis of 2007–2008. It has been observed that the bank reserves are not a limiting factor because the central banks supply more reserves than necessary[19] and because banks have been able to build up additional reserves when they were needed.[20] Many economists and bankers now realize that the amount of money in circulation is limited only by the demand for loans, not by reserve requirements.
> ...
> Banks first lend and then cover their reserve ratios: The decision whether or not to lend is generally independent of their reserves with the central bank or their deposits from customers; banks are not lending out deposits or reserves, anyway. Banks lend on the basis of lending criteria, such as the status of the customer's business, the loan's prospects, and/or the overall economic situation.
Just an aside, but that is a gigantic undersell of veterinarians. The difficulties of becoming one aside, just seeing that "humans-only" doctors only work on one kind of ape, compared to the many very different kinds of life forms a veterinarian has to deal with (of course they specialize too), I don't understand why one would think a veterinarian would deserve the word "only".