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ForecastWatch, a company solely dedicated to analyzing the accuracy of weather forecasts, has a good study available: https://www.forecastwatch.com/wp-content/uploads/High_Temper...

You can also check accuracy for your local zip code (in US) at: https://www.forecastadvisor.com/

tldr: for the best US consumer weather forecasters the mean error on high/low temp for 1-5 day forecasts is around 3F and they hit within 3F within 70% of the time.

7-day has declining accuracy and 10-day is not much better than statistical analysis on historical trends.


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