- Despite the flood of benchmark-tuned LLMs, we remain nowhere close to engineering a machine intelligence rivaling that of a cat or a dog, let alone within the next 5 to 10 years.
- The world already hosts millions of organic AI (Actual Intelligence). Many statistically at genius-level IQ. Does their existence make you obsolete?
> Despite the flood of benchmark-tuned LLMs, we remain nowhere close to engineering a machine intelligence rivaling that of a cat or a dog, let alone within the next 5 to 10 years.
Depends on your definition of "intelligence." No, they can't reliably navigate the physical world or have long-term memories like cats or dogs do. Yes, they can outperform them on intellectual work in the written domain.
> Does their existence make you obsolete?
Imagine if for everything you tried to do, there was someone else who could do it better, no matter what domain, no matter where you were, and no matter how hard you tried. You are not an economically viable member of society. Some could deal with that level of demoralisation, but many won't.
The US is 300 million people and an economy of 23T ( until Boeing and Lockeed lose their access to their external markets). The rest of the world is 8 Billion people and an economy of 78T. Sounds like the US does not have all the cards.
Think SEA, Korea, Japan are going to feel better off with China empowered by a weak USA? They want trade for both national security and their economic interest. I'm sure Samsung and Sony want to pickup their share of the Chinese electronics exports.
Has Germany proven they won't sell out to do the right thing? I can't imagine German car manufacturers don't want in US markets for some greater cause. BYD is eating their lunch in China, but BYD is also non-existent in the US market.
We are possibly looking at the US kneecapping the world economy (including its own) but I'm highly skeptical country A isn't going to try to capitalize on country Bs expensive exports.
Just four hours before the U.S. administration announcement, posts here were already calling the surge in U.S. bond yields a "non-event." ( and being flagged..)
It was indeed about T-bills. Something Trump probably doesn't even know what it is. There’s no strategy, no objective, just sheer, unfiltered incompetence.
The stock market’s reprieve will be short-lived. In just eight days, this administration erased $5 trillion in market value, insulted its primary trading partner using language deeply offensive in Asian cultures, and made it clear to investors that it has zero credibility.
Futures are already negative, which is exactly what you'd expect. The market is responding. And let’s be honest: the claim about 75 countries eager to negotiate is a pure lie. The EU has publicly stated the U.S. administration was not even returning their calls.
If you like Red October, dont miss the french movie "Le chant du loup". Absolutely great for lovers of the genre: "The Wolf's Call" - https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7458762/
I guess the GP meant that the NYT article is not very informative. Bloomberg imo did a way better job reporting this event:
> “This is a fire sale of Treasuries,” said Calvin Yeoh, portfolio manager at hedge fund Blue Edge Advisors Pte. who is selling 20 to 30-year Treasuries futures. “I haven’t seen moves or volatility of this size since the chaos of the pandemic.”
- The world already hosts millions of organic AI (Actual Intelligence). Many statistically at genius-level IQ. Does their existence make you obsolete?
reply