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I must be missing something, I buy Bitcoin with a USD bank account, I send to another address and then this address sends to a known drug dealer. How do they establish the second address's identity?


I guess the investigators found out somehow, for example by looking at transactions on a computer already seized for realayed investigations. Also by sending bitcoin to the service themselves, the investigators could trace the flow of coins into addresses used by the dealers to spend their bitcoins. Then backwards from there to other users payments.


It reads like no one had any sense of how well they would do on the test. So people guessed they'd be slightly above average which is a good prior for a group of Ivy league students. This lead to the lowest being "overconfident" and the best being "under confident". Designing good studies is hard.


Degree of change would be nice. These traits could all be very flat over time and therefore small peaks make things statistically significant.


Slightly snarky cliffs

SWE did good work, got passed over for promotion several times, got mad and quits cushy software job to freelance. Everyone sympathizes because everyone thinks they do promotion-worthy work.


I'm actually not surprised that journalists overestimated Hillary's chance of winning. As a group, they are predominantly coastal and almost uniformly college educated. Both of those groups broke disproportionately toward Hillary.

Non-college educated Americans broke disproportionately toward Trump. It would seem given the relationship between college graduation and cognitive ability (the bottom 20% in cognitive ability rarely graduates from college) that this is reasonable support for the correlation of fake news belief with Trump support.


You could also die and have zero spending dollars. Or less fatalistically see high inflation eat away your lower than expected returns


The real issue is that the converse statement is rarely true. Providing less value to your customers is a way to be paid more. Obviously as the entire thread points out, the outcomes are probabilistic in nature and certain job titles have low ceilings on wages as do certain companies.

As a barber, you can only cut one person's hair at a time. Regardless of your customer service, this will limit your impact and compensation. Own a chain of barbershop and you'll impact more people and be compensated accordingly.

This thread seems to dedicated to the annoying cap on individual contribution in a team game.


This is like describing a painting to a blind person. Describing "a dust-covered sunflower" as a "yellow flower" doesn't much help the blind person and certainly doesn't help the sighted.


You realize that saving half your income is actually living on a sixth. The government always get a third.


Seriously leftist plot to solve unsolved statistical problem?

Is reality breaking down?


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