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Delusional market fundamentalist bullshit in its most pure form. Good job.

Many governments around the world have figured out the US unemployment rate filter trick. What is actually being measured at this point is not important.

The market fundamentalist are performing a type of data ritual to the market gods with the unemployment rate. Make the data look good and the gods will reward us.


Exactly. Humans are rationalizers. Operate on pre-existing gut intuitions and biases then invent after the fact rational sounding justifications.

I guess Pareto wasn't on the reading list for these intellectual frauds.

Those are actually the priors being updated lol.


As if these neorationalist are building a model and markov chain monte carlo sampling their life decisions.

That is the bullshit part.


Agreed, yeah.


4o is a joke.

There must be a weird influence campaign going on.

"DEEP SEEK IS BETTER" lol.

GPT5 is incredible. Maybe it is at the level of Opus but I barely got to talk to Opus. I thought Opus was a huge jump from my limited interaction.

After about 4 hours with GPT5, I think it is completely insane. It is so smart.

For me, Opus and GPT5 are just other level. This is a jump from 3.5 to 4. I think more if anything.

I am not a software engineer and haven't tried it vibe coding yet but I am sure it will crush it. Sonnet already crushes it for vibe coding.

Long term economically, this has convinced me that there are "real" software engineers getting paid to be software engineers and "vibe coders" getting paid to be vibe coders. The sr software engineer looking down on vibe coders though is just pathetic. Real software engineers will be fine and be even more valuable. What ya'll need to be your hero Elon and make all the money?

Who cares about o3? Whatever I just talked to is beyond O3. I love the twilight zone but this is a bit much.

Maybe Opus is even better but I can't interact with Opus like this for $20.

I don't think that is true at all though. I really dislike Altman but they totally delivered.


As shown by the GPT-5 reaction, a majority of people just have nothing better to ask the models than how many times does the letter "s" appear in "stupid".


I think this is a completely valid thing to do when you have Sam Altman going on the daily shows and describing it as a genius in your pocket and how it's smarter than any human alive. Deflating hype bubbles is an important service.


Yeah: Like with self-driving vehicles, the characteristics of when and how something breaks are important, not just some average error-rate.

If users cannot anticipate what does or doesn't constitute risky usage or potential damages, things go Extra Wrong.


But the point is, why would you trust it for anything at all, when it can't do an incredibly simple thing reliably at all? (Yes, I understand the tokenizer makes this hard, but still, it's a quick demonstration that it's just bad technology.)


2 time(s)


I think we have reached a user schism in terms of benefits going forward.

I am completely floored by GPT-5. I only tried it a half hour ago and have a whole new data analysis pipeline. I thought it must be hallucinating badly at first but all the papers it referenced are real and I had just never heard of these concepts.

This is for an area that has 200 papers on arxiv and I have read all of them so thought I knew this area well.

I don't see how the average person benefits much going forward though. They simply don't have questions to ask in order to have the model display its intelligence.


What do you think are the chances that they used data collected from users for the past couple of years and are propping up performance in those use cases instead of the promised generality?


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