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I wonder how the analogy holds up given computational advances. Will a bunch of H100s be as useful a decade later like fiber ended up being?


I might be wrong, but my understanding is that we're on a decelerating slope of perf/transistor and have been for quite a while - I just looked up the OpenCL benchmark results of the 1080 Ti vs 4090, and the perf/W went up by 2.8x despite going from 16nm to 5nm, with perfect power scaling, we would've seen a more than 10x increase.


Probably not. There will be better GPUs. It's like we did use all those Kepler K10 and K80 fifteen or so years ago, they were Ok for models with few millions of parameters, then Pascal and Volta arrived ten years ago with massive speed up and larger memory, allowing to train same size models 2-4 times faster, so you simply had to replace all Keplers. Then Turing happened making all P100 and V100 obsolete. Then A100, and now H100. Next L100 or whatever with just more on-board memory will make H100 obsolete quickly.


One thing that is missing is that we have massively improved the performance of the algorithms lately to require less compute power, so a H100 will still be performant several years from now. The problem will be that it's going to be using up more power and physical space than an out-performing future version and so will need to be scrapped.


Same applies to the railroads analogy used in the original article.


Start thinking about estate planning as soon as you get married. It’s easier when you are young.


It works better before marriage. Works better to have assets before marriage that aren't brought into the marriage.

Then you can focus just on the love, just like what people without a plan always ask their wealthier suitor to do.


Exactly


The closest I have come is a copy of a museum exhibition catalog about Dieter Rams from 1981 that is signed by him. I bought it online. The copy was described as having a scribble on the front page and priced very low as a consequence. Years after, I saw Dieter’s signature somewhere and realized that my book was signed.


I got a copy of a David Attenborough signed book in a similar way. It was a used book about wild flowers with an introduction by Attenborough bought very cheap about 100 INR in a used book store in Mumbai. Only later while looking at the book I realised it was an autographed copy.


I just received my copy. Truly one of the best books in my collection. I’m looking forward to years of enjoyment.


I use a single 40" 4k display at 1x. This allows me to fluidly switch between different layouts like one huge canvas when doing design or multiple windows when coding, writing, etc.

I used multiple monitors in the past, but the seams between displays was a hinderance when spanning a single window across.



It should work. I have one outputting digital to my hi-fi via TOSLINK.


Nice job! This is great. Exactly what I've been looking for.

Have you thought about blurring the background in the modal? I find that for news sites, the modal still lets me read the headlines


Thank you!!! I've been trying to figure out a way to obscure the background without hiding it entirely (which would make the popup feel a bit too obstructive) and blurring the background is the perfect solution.

Expect to see this in an update soon!


Just to be clear, Taiwan did not have huge flows of mainland Chinese soon after the outbreak though. They closed the border to all travelers with PRC passports in mid-February. They did take some drastic measures that have worked.


Mid-February was already weeks after the epidemic starts to be on the news. They also repatriated businessmen from China. Given business and cultural ties between the two countries, I find hard to believe that less Chinese traveled between them than between China and Italia.


> They closed the border to all travelers with PRC passports in mid-February

And before that they had plenty of people coming in from China with active Covid infections - returning from New Year including people from Hubei.

The US enacted their travel ban to China on 31st Jan, yet that hasn’t helped the US...

Now Taiwan is getting cases from other countries (returning citizens and foreign migrant workers) e.g. yesterday: “Meanwhile, the 15 patients deemed to have contracted COVID-19 overseas all returned to Taiwan in the period March 16-23. The countries they had visited were the U.S., the United Kingdom, New Zealand, Spain, Malaysia, Monaco and Mexico.”

Taiwan is still allowing foreign migrant workers to enter the country, as they need them for their economy.


South Korea kept their door open pretty much until this week as many expats returned home with the virus from Europe and Americas.

IIRC, most early US cases came from Iran and Italy.


To add to that. mainland China banned citizens from traveling to Taiwan as individual tourists 2019 July because of other reasons. So yes Taiwan did not have huge flows of mainland Chinese.

https://time.com/5639832/china-bans-travel-taiwan-tourists/


But they did, for business. There are also millions of Taiwanese that either live or work in the PRC. Taiwan was one of the major international destinations for flights from Hubei and not coincidentally one of the first countries with cases outside China.


I would appreciate if you provide data/source.

> There are also millions of Taiwanese that either live or work in the PRC

Taiwan has a population around 23.78 million. So you are saying at least 1 in 20 live or work in the PRC...


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