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1. The initial stage of adoption of AI will be more of a shift (some plus + here and some minus there) and reorientation and restructuring than net exponential growth.

2. Also a good portion of contribution of AI is where it's not taken into account by metrics like GDP. I have seen an explosion of FOSS projects especially in my own area and I'm sure it's pretty much are the case for many other areas.

3. Also there will be a sink-like effect with effects of AI on net wealth production. Like Earth's own oxygenation event which took billions for the produced oxygen to (after saturating all the sinks like Earth' iron reserves and turning them to Iron ore) ultimately find its way into the atmosphere.

4. Also I'm not sure what is exactly being counted on as contribution of AI to economy. Is the data-center build-outs and growth of chip companies,etc. included in this metric in AI's favor? ...


Syria became a hell for its citizen exactly because Obama run away from enforcing the very red line (chemical weapons) he himself had drawn (for himself). He basically allowed the massacre to escalate.


Your simplistic recipe shows you don't understand the situation and way for improvement in either case.


What part of the previous comment do you think is so ridiculous?


You obviously seem to have no idea how mafia-style dictatorships like those of Iran, Russian and Venezuela work. No fault of you. Most people don't.

And even their own citizens come to the realization after a long time living under them; partly because they get caught in the constant propaganda campaign which is one hallmark of these regimes. They always live in the propaganda mode.


Google is still far far better than the competition which is crawling with manipulated results and fake sites and phishing scams. The other are so much easier to take advantage of and manipulate (e.g. search ranking). No security based filtering ,etc.

I have been personally bitten by results on the likes of Bing or DDG (fake browser addons on top, crypto phishing sites on top, etc.)

Also user experience varies somewhat and for me with the same search prompt ("midjourney"), the intended site is the first result.


To me its function looks similar to a sponge or a tampon: An additional piece that absorbs the external influence and then is subtracted away (you remain dry:)))


Regarding the conclusion about language-invariant reasoning (conceptual universality vs. multilingual processing) it helps understanding and becomes somewhat obvious if we regard each language as just a basis of some semantic/logical/thought space in the mind (analogous to the situation in linear algebra and duality of tensors and bases).

The thoughts/ideas/concepts/scenarios are invariant states/vector/points in the (very high dimensional) space of meanings in the mind and each language is just a basis to reference/define/express/manipulate those ideas/vectors. A coordinatization of that semantic space.

Personally, I'm a multilingual person with native-level command of several languages. Many times it happens, I remember having a specific thought, but don't remember in what language it was. So I can personally sympathize with this finding of the Anthropic researchers.


So Erdogan wants to be Putin of Turkey. It's up to the Turks if he can succeed.


...until they distill that "11x efficient training" again ...


Don't forget that this model probably has far less params than o1 or even 4o. This is a compression/distillation, which means it frees up so much compute resources to build models much powerful than o1. At least this allows further scaling compute-wise (if not in the amount of, non-synthetic, source material available for training).


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