The worldsheet is time-symmetric, otherwise, if you pulled a single point of the worldsheet, the point would remain, and no elastic resistance would occur. If we presume that elastic resistance occurs, then we assume any pulled point will restore to elastic equilibrium with the aggregate elastic potential of the entire worldsheet, and thus, time symmetry IS the zero aggregate elastic equilibrium of a worldsheet.
We are not talking about zero UNIFORM elastic equilibrium, in which each point is at zero elasticity between all other points in a worldsheet. We are talking about zero aggergate elastic equilibrium between all other points in a worldsheet, thus, we are presuming the elastic resistance between all points on a worldsheet is always in flux, but eventually trends towards zero.
Eventually, this natural jiggling of the elasticity of points forms elastic folding within the worldsheet itself. Most of these folds revert back to zero aggregate elasticity, but sometimes, these structures hold because while they have odd topography, they achieve elastic equilibrium with the rest of the worldsheet because of their odd topography. This is because of the distribution of tension within the topology. Because it is at elastic equilibrium, the topology remains. Eventually, more topologies appear and eventually, some even interlock with each other like worldsheet velcro.
If the elastic equilibrium of these topological structures is pulled beyond its internal tension balance, each of these "tension contracts" will be pulled apart in favor of the dominant tension. Despite these topologies being made of time symmetric worldsheets, the topologies themselves are time asymmetric and cannot be made again by simply reserving the elasticity as the worldsheet still remains at zero aggregate elasticity, and thus, preserves its time symmetry AS A WHOLE. This is how arrows of time can arise from time symmetric universes.
From here, these tension contracts combine with each other, forming either a velcro binding or a tension binding, where one topology correctly scales the flow of tension to its neighbors, increasing its tensile strength, and thus, extending its influence upon the rest of the worldsheet. This, I believe, is the foundation behind Higgs fields.
The key take away is that every particle in the entire universe is nothing more than complicated folds of a two-dimensional conformal field theory coupled to symmetric time. Nothing rests on the worldsheet or exists beyond it. All energy and matter is made up of a complex combination of elastic equilibrium. Gravity, then, is the resolution of elastic equilibrium between two tension contracts. To prove this, we simply have to envision a blackhole as being anchored upon the universe at the very edge of the event horizon because that is where the rest of the worldsheet has achieved elastic equilibrium with the blackhole.
This is why negative energy does not appear in the wild. EVERYTHING is already made up of "negative" energy.
> regulations are vital for ensuring human health and happiness
I agree. The regulations created for the war on drugs has lifted millions of African Americans out of poverty and into group-oriented communities that promise shelter, free food, and at least one hour of happiness per day.
You say that as if that doesn't happen already - there's quite a bit of code that's maintained collaboratively between the various Linux distros because upstream is too interested in being a meanie to merge needed and working code. Secure boot support comes to mind, but there's a lot of other stuff.
But you're doing it again. You're bringing emotion and "us vs them" and "good guys vs bad guys" to what ought to be (as much as possible) an objective analysis of facts.
MSM has been openly doing this for two decades now. They poisoned their own well which why they are getting ready to run to the government to craft legislation to protect themselves after such a horrendously off-the-mark Clinton obsession.
By "clinton obsession" do you mean the coverage of her email "scandal" more than any other political topic combined? Yeah, that was absolutely a media failure.
But the answer is to hold media accountable, not to throw truth under a bus and promulgate nonsense with the excuse of "the other tribe is just as bad!"
This behavior exactly matches something described by Sartre in the last century. Replace "anti-semite" with "Trump supporter" in the following passage and it is strikingly on point:
Never believe that anti-Semites are completely unaware of the absurdity of their replies. They know that their remarks are frivolous, open to challenge. But they are amusing themselves, for it is their adversary who is obliged to use words responsibly, since he believes in words. The anti-Semites have the right to play. They even like to play with discourse for, by giving ridiculous reasons, they discredit the seriousness of their interlocutors. They delight in acting in bad faith, since they seek not to persuade by sound argument but to intimidate and disconcert. If you press them too closely, they will abruptly fall silent, loftily indicating by some phrase that the time for argument is past. It is not that they are afraid of being convinced. They fear only to appear ridiculous or to prejudice by their embarrassment their hope of winning over some third person to their side.
Rolling Stone's fake rape story to double down on the feminist (and thus pro-Clinton) narrative?
Complete MSM involvement to sell the war in Iraq?
As far as I'm concerned, as long as MSM acts as the executive branch's lap dog, it should be considered an official wing of the government and should qualify for constitutional regulation just like the other branches.
Oh sure, yes AI will also be baked into products sold to poor, no it won't be for their benefit but rather to control, manipulate and rip them off. Kind of like advertising and surveillance now.
Robots solve one problem very, very well: Labor shortages.
Rural America is poor, not because it is not rich in natural capital and real estate, but because it suffers from a perpetual labor shortage. (14 percent of the U.S. rural are spread across 72 percent of the Nation's land area) Urbanization has a monopoly on talent at this point in time because of globalization and the wealth structure of internationalist neoliberal capitalism. (The Silicon Valley model)
Robotic labor will change that, especially given the strictness of UAV laws in the US and the UK today. They are practically legislating that drones must find profitability in low-value, low-population areas.
Fine. Challenge accepted.
To give another example of such labor shortages, 75% of the United Arab Emirates population is Chinese, Indian, Pakistani, and Filipino immigrants doing construction jobs. The other 2.3 million native UAE nationals can't possibly engage in all of the ancillary labor opportunities that Dubai money commands.
Wealthy nations are suffering from labor shortages all over the world and have been for decades. They've raced to solve these problems in the only way they know how: attracting the flow of post-colonials because of standards of living arbitrage. (Very often, people used to being so poor being treated like garbage in a wealthy nation is a significantly better prospect than staying home) In the EU, for example, they can no longer print their own currency, but each member state can still issue bonds. They are already engaging in socialist taxation regimes, so raising taxes to pay for the bonds is impossible. Therefore, you need to enrich your corporations by giving them access to cheap labor and pray you can tax them before they allocate their new found wealth in the Isle of Mann.
Unfortunately, this impulse isn't such a clean transition, as most of these old world nations (with old world money) have the political, institutional, and cultural reflex to give new blood two options: Comply with your role in our social pecking order 100% or be exiled/imprisoned/exterminated. Race riots, cultural flare-ups, demographic conflict, and other Huntingtonian events can easily be exploited and exacerbated by political opportunists, ultimately destabilizing the very social configuration that made your nation attractive to begin with. No matter what the well-wishers say, when it all goes belly up, civilizations always divide themselves along ethnic (the American definition) lines.
If we continue to refuse (as many have since the 1970s) addressing the labor shortage problem with our established institutions, people like me will be forced to address it technologically and your cherished institutions and the morality that they stand upon will be ground into the dirt upon its passing.
We have seen actual labor shortages in rural America. Petrol drilling in the Dakotas. That lead to dramatic wage growth for anyone remotely qualified to work in petroleum engineering, so much so that at its height a qualified person with a 3 month training program could make 30k a month.
There is no magical land in the midwest where humans dare not tread that is a bountiful gold mine of productive capacity.
Demand for labor is not a reflection of "there is so much work to be done, if people are willing to do it for no pay" in the same way you cannot claim there is tremendous demand for mansions because most people do not live in them already. Demand comes from financial pressure on suppliers to generate supply. Be it labor, corn, or software. Real demand creates a business opportunity. All the examples you cited are just the exploitation of poor helpless masses for cheap labor to do work that would not be done if people could not be paid so little for it. Its the extra toaster cozy of the labor market, a thing you do not actually particularly want or need enough to create actual substantial demand, but something you will get on the cheap because its there and convenient.
There is no future in that. Economics cannot be powered by the utmost of human desperation and poverty. Well... it actually can, and was for much of the industrial revolution, but with our modern advent of human rights and treating workers like actual people rather than cost centers reverting to the use of the starving as disposable tools would hopefully be a bit repugnant to some.
People move from rural areas to urban ones because there is no demand for them where they came from. The land is utilized, and often constrained by freshwater access than actual square footage, but until crop prices rise enough to justify expensive pumping of freshwater to drier regions nothing will change there. So they have to go where even the slightest potential opportunity is, and that is what has driven people into cities for centuries.
> We have seen actual labor shortages in rural America. Petrol drilling in the Dakotas. That lead to dramatic wage growth for anyone remotely qualified to work in petroleum engineering, so much so that at its height a qualified person with a 3 month training program could make 30k a month.
Natural resources in demand requiring labor is can absolutely cause a labor shortage. But that's not the only way to achieve a labor shortage.
> Demand comes from financial pressure on suppliers to generate supply. Be it labor, corn, or software. Real demand creates a business opportunity.
Correct. Current configurations of labor determines what is and is not profitable. For centuries, horses and man were the most profitable configuration of labor. In my world, robots and AI are. How you configure labor determines the accessibility of demand, which determines venture opportunities in production.
> All the examples you cited are just the exploitation of poor helpless masses for cheap labor to do work that would not be done if people could not be paid so little for it.
My examples are of politically expedient labor doing work that politically inexpedient labor would do, highlighting the influence of political lobbyists in the consumption/demand model.
> Its the extra toaster cozy of the labor market, a thing you do not actually particularly want or need enough to create actual substantial demand, but something you will get on the cheap because its there and convenient.
I would argue this type of conspicuous demand is an artifact of technological slack, allowing producers to market and sell virtualized importance of their own goods. When paired with demand having excess wealth to expend, productive forces adapt accordingly. When technological slack is paired with lack of wealth expenditure, again, all this means is a labor shortage to drive the price points down. Having a robotic work force that can produce goods for pennies can allow those goods to be accessible to even the poorest, allowing them to depart with their wealth in exchange for the good. Thus, the reason the good is not consumed is because of its price point, which is caused by labor shortages. Robotic labor can soften the labor shortage price spike by simply allowing more labor that doesn't have human costs.
> There is no future in that. Economics cannot be powered by the utmost of human desperation and poverty.
Yes. However, the productive forces of economics can be decoupled from human desperation through robotic labor. That changes everything.
> People move from rural areas to urban ones because there is no demand for them where they came from.
There is no demand where they came from because they suffer from a labor shortage to provide the goods of their labors against urban economies of scale.
A labor shortage means wages go up. If wages aren't going up then there's no labor shortage.
An alternate theory for why resources aren't being exploited is an aggregate demand shortfall. This would result in low capital utilization, low labor utilization and slow growth.
Which model better fits the facts in the world today: the one which supposes there's a labor shortage or the one that supposes a demand shortfall?
How do you explain housing shortage where there is no labor shortage? i.e. places with expensive housing where the median cost substantially exceeds the median labor wage? Wages haven't kept pace, at all, with housing prices, across a brutally wide geographic area.
> A labor shortage means wages go up. If wages aren't going up then there's no labor shortage.
This is correct in theoretical economics. This is incorrect in actual economic practice only because theoretical economics has no game theory model for political advantages. In fact, the entire concept of these advantages are hand-waved away as "corruption". Labor shortage only justifies wage advantage among specialist workers. (Programmers, lawyers, accounts, and other symbol artisans) Labor shortage among common workers justifies cost crisis for the producer, forcing them to engage in political games via lobbyists to discover advantage for the cheapest worker and alter the laws to make that worker accessible. (The Ford model)
> An alternate theory for why resources aren't being exploited is an aggregate demand shortfall. This would result in low capital utilization, low labor utilization and slow growth.
The current aggregate demand shortfall happened after 2008, in which the Fed absorbed all toxic mortgages and cut off the productive forces of the world to supply the American housing boon. The entire global economy was geared for that type of collective oil consumption, and when it became obvious Americans couldn't pay their mortgages, the jig was up. Yes, this resulted in slow growth for the PREVIOUS configuration of human interaction. (The Miltonian model) Every housing opportunity short was taken off of the books AND off of the market, depriving housing service labor wealth opportunities and consolidating them all into the Fed. Thus, the housing market was forced into an artificial labor shortage because of artificial inventory contraction. In exchange, the banks were given an asset swap, flooding them with liquidity, and they all sought profit opportunities overseas to pay themselves out of outright nationalization in exchange for their hard assets. Thus. the post-war American consumer role of first and last resort for world productivity was intentionally stifled by Federal Reserve intervention, resulting in time-specialized capital utilization, which cause low mass capital and mass labor utilization, finalizing in slow growth.
> Which model better fits the facts in the world today: the one which supposes there's a labor shortage or the one that supposes a demand shortfall?
Current demand shortfall is a byproduct of the factors I have mentioned above, and hardly a model worth extrapolating from unless you can eliminate the Federal Reserve's role in the matter. In a world in which there is no consumer of first and last resort, what is the alternative? China absorbs its own productive capacity? African consumption absorbs… what? Facebook's benevolence? You're left with an intentionally fractured world in which nations are forced to realign their entire political and social arrangements to maximize oil consumption from a dynamic list of competitors to stave off politically destabilizing labor shortages. This means that, if oil is deprived from your nation, you will absolutely experience a politically destabilizing labor shortage! You will not be able to mobilize your masses to chase global opportunity because you will be priced out of the game before you even start… unless you engage in socialistic configuration to absolutely control prices, and then you're just managing peak production limitations.
If my reasoning holds, then the question is thus: Is America experiencing an oil shortage?
Consuming oil means you are engaging in economic activity. If oil is cheap, then the profits from that economic activity should be higher across the aggregate of labor.
If oil is cheap and it is not being consumed, then the profits to be had through its consumption are not high enough. If the oil is cheap and it is being consumed, then the profits to be had through its consumption are too low.
If the profits of oil consumption are not high enough, then what we are actually describing is a labor shortage because the human cost of living has deterred additional oil consumption. Thus, labor that does not have to shoulder such costs of living (robotic) CAN consume oil and achieve profits to sustain its own consumption.
So if oil is cheap and no one is buying it, it is because we have a labor shortage for that particular oil price point.
> If we continue to refuse (as many have since the 1970s) addressing the labor shortage problem with our established institutions, people like me will be forced to address it technologically ...
What would keep you from addressing it technologically even when it is addressed with your so-called established institutions?
- When tractors were widely available and cheap, did land-owners refuse to buy them, and kept hiring farm employees?
- Did they ask for established institutions to help them out, instead of buying a bunch of tractors, hiring a fraction of the previous number of employees for driving the tractors, and never having to look back?
- Are there farm owners out there who still long for the days established institutions solved their labor shortage problems so they don't have to buy tractors?
> What would keep you from addressing it technologically even when it is addressed with your so-called established institutions?
A fantastic question. Socialist protectionism can absolutely drive the cost of human labor down well beyond competitive price points of even the most cheapest and sophisticated robotic labor. Cuba is a fantastic example of this. (Which I suspect will be the last place to embrace robotic labor) The Castro's have established strict price controls, which means doctors or janitors can get $6 a day while bread costs a few pennies. They have the material utopia... which sounds good, until you realize the Castro's offer their nation's labor at $20 an hour to Europe. With a 48 hour work week, the Castro's pocket $19.375 dollars PER WORKER PER HOUR while the worker takes home $0.625 per hour. They've established a familiar aristocracy under the name of actual, functional socialism. Never underestimate the power of political organization to drive human value to subslavery price points.
> When tractors were widely available and cheap, did land-owners refuse to buy them, and kept hiring farm employees?
> Did they ask for established institutions to help them out, instead of buying a bunch of tractors, hiring a fraction of the previous number of employees for driving the tractors, and never having to look back?
For tractors to be widely available and cheap, this implies a juxtaposition with a time in which pre-tractor farming was expensive. The industrial age ultimately rendered traditional slavery too expensive compared to the common laborer due to unique combination of clever agricultural engineering, the birth of modern financial capitalism, and robust land availability via new gains in military conquest. Be it a slave, an immigrant, or a vagabond, the final price points didn't significantly affect yield, thus, the real cost of slavery (maintenance, security, lobbying, administration, etc.) was exposed and was no longer competitive. America, a major cotton exporter, fought a bloody civil war to protect that exporter status against Egypt and India, so yes, institutional assistance to preserve the previously profitable model was absolutely involved in both the enrichment of successful labor practices and replacing it with something more GDP efficient.
This transition took place in a world where the first steam tractors in the 1870s weighed 30,000 pounds![1] The technical maintenance of these beasts was impossible for the average farmer. It wasn't until Ford and the gasoline revolution that tractors finally took off and were make cheap enough. By then, human organization was also in the midst of the electric light bulb, doubling human productivity, and the steel highrise, linearly scaling the productivity of a parcel of land. This massive surge of productive capacity, when paired with growth-oriented industrial capitalism, created a tremendous labor shortage. Peak tractor production didn't occur until 1951, well after America established itself as the world reserve currency. I'd be suspicious of using the tractor as a valid analog for artificial intelligence.
When productive capacity skyrocketed due to these three technological innovations, farm owners did hire more employees, as did the rest of the aggregate productive forces of society.
> Are there farm owners out there who still long for the days established institutions solved their labor shortage problems so they don't have to buy tractors?
I believe you call them “southerners” and they are solving their labor shortages with institutional mandates (via globalization and NAFTA) that allow immigrant labor to be cheaper than native labor.
> Have you seen CGPGrey's Humans Need Not Apply?
I have. I'm deeply familiar with Baxter and it's ability to augment FoxConn. Notice I said augment, not replace. It's response times are still too slow, and even if it got a CUDA-powered GPU neural network, China can always engage in protectionist legislation that render all technological advantages moot. CPGrey doesn't address the ability of the Cuba's and the China's of the world to socially absorb actual labor costs due of political paranoia. I recommend studying the tale of William Lee[2] to see just how far back the political fear of automation goes.
I'm sorry you had to do such a long write-up and yet you seem to have made utterly unconvincing arguments.
You make a nice mention of 'socialist protectionism'. Essentially what you described, looks like Cuba is a giant factory full of slaves instead of a country, and EU is its customer.
First of all, you had to pick the worst of the worst implementation of an economy (Cuba) to make your point. Does my question look like I was asking for a counter-example, no matter how horrible or remote? If that's the goal then I have an even better answer "Sadism would keep a farm owner from using technology to do farming". I hope it's clear that that's not the kind of answer I was looking for.
Not only that, I just checked 'Economy of Cuba' wikipedia page and it has to import 70-80% of its food. So your worst of the worst example is still not good enough to make manual-farming labor cost-effective.
Later, you use phrases like "unique combination of" and "clever" and what not. Really? Was the industrial revolution so unique and clever that something similar will never ever be repeated? Have you looked at the daily science and technology innovation news around yourself?
"response time are too slow" and even if not, back to "social protectionism".
Sorry I've completely lost you. I don't even know if you're saying whatever you're saying as a socialist or lassez-faire capitalist or what, so I could at least put your point of view in perspective. What I do know is that every passing day, my conviction keeps getting stronger that politicians and economists love to get lost in the word-soup of archaic ideas, and completely miss the mark that the technologists are making on the world one day after another.
> Does my question look like I was asking for a counter-example, no matter how horrible or remote? If that's the goal then I have an even better answer "Sadism would keep a farm owner from using technology to do farming"
The point was to show the lengths of insanity humanity can endure just to protect itself from automation, thus, answering your questions. Cuban food importing is due to it's economic distribution to allowing populations to grow well beyond what that island can naturally sustain. If anything, that's actually a sign of it's economic effectiveness to bypass resource shortages.
> Was the industrial revolution so unique and clever that something similar will never ever be repeated?
Yes. The mathematical formulations that powered that revolution are now known by the whole of humanity. Barring an apocalyptic calamity, the discovery of statistics that allowed for mastery of nature through chemistry and atomic theory and mastery of mankind through economics will never be repeated because our entire system has been designed to maximize the gains from that mathematical discovery. The next mathematical revolution, which I suspect will be Bayesian inference, will reveal new things about nature and human behavior, and our economic engines will tilt to maximize those discoveries.
> "response time are too slow" and even if not, back to "social protectionism".
Again, all of your questions were trying to draw absurd conclusions that somehow, only through technological prowess can every single problem of AI be resolved. I'm here to remind you that William Lee, and Cuba, and China, and Venezuela, and political protectionism are real reoccurring things that can completely crush any "technology always wins because Silicon Valley" hope you have.
That protectionism is what "refusing to address the labor shortage problem with our established institutions" actually looks like.
The worldsheet is time-symmetric, otherwise, if you pulled a single point of the worldsheet, the point would remain, and no elastic resistance would occur. If we presume that elastic resistance occurs, then we assume any pulled point will restore to elastic equilibrium with the aggregate elastic potential of the entire worldsheet, and thus, time symmetry IS the zero aggregate elastic equilibrium of a worldsheet.
We are not talking about zero UNIFORM elastic equilibrium, in which each point is at zero elasticity between all other points in a worldsheet. We are talking about zero aggergate elastic equilibrium between all other points in a worldsheet, thus, we are presuming the elastic resistance between all points on a worldsheet is always in flux, but eventually trends towards zero.
Eventually, this natural jiggling of the elasticity of points forms elastic folding within the worldsheet itself. Most of these folds revert back to zero aggregate elasticity, but sometimes, these structures hold because while they have odd topography, they achieve elastic equilibrium with the rest of the worldsheet because of their odd topography. This is because of the distribution of tension within the topology. Because it is at elastic equilibrium, the topology remains. Eventually, more topologies appear and eventually, some even interlock with each other like worldsheet velcro.
If the elastic equilibrium of these topological structures is pulled beyond its internal tension balance, each of these "tension contracts" will be pulled apart in favor of the dominant tension. Despite these topologies being made of time symmetric worldsheets, the topologies themselves are time asymmetric and cannot be made again by simply reserving the elasticity as the worldsheet still remains at zero aggregate elasticity, and thus, preserves its time symmetry AS A WHOLE. This is how arrows of time can arise from time symmetric universes.
From here, these tension contracts combine with each other, forming either a velcro binding or a tension binding, where one topology correctly scales the flow of tension to its neighbors, increasing its tensile strength, and thus, extending its influence upon the rest of the worldsheet. This, I believe, is the foundation behind Higgs fields.
The key take away is that every particle in the entire universe is nothing more than complicated folds of a two-dimensional conformal field theory coupled to symmetric time. Nothing rests on the worldsheet or exists beyond it. All energy and matter is made up of a complex combination of elastic equilibrium. Gravity, then, is the resolution of elastic equilibrium between two tension contracts. To prove this, we simply have to envision a blackhole as being anchored upon the universe at the very edge of the event horizon because that is where the rest of the worldsheet has achieved elastic equilibrium with the blackhole.
This is why negative energy does not appear in the wild. EVERYTHING is already made up of "negative" energy.