Let's hope you're right, but you might be underestimating the "$200 per month (robo)engineer can only do it like this, therefore this is the way to do it" factor.
I believe originally it was a name for PTSD, that's an even more curious association. In case it wasn't obvious, tortoise-related puns can be taken too far :)
Pick your poison, as usual, but Patrick Boyle's "How The Japanese Economic Miracle Led to Lost Decades" suggests the fall was entirely of their (Japan's) own making: https://yewtu.be/watch?v=12ddOpt7Hio
I recently concocted a (conspiracy) theory that relicensing of HC projects is a ploy to get IBM (or some other company happy to rain on IBM's parade) to finally make an offer. Mitchell leaving the company features in the theory as well. Basically it seems like since at least 2021 HC leadership and/or investors are exploring exit strategies that will bring in the beeeelions.
Disclaimer: Senior Cloud Engineer for a $billion+ SaaS company here
I think this argument is only valid if you would use cloud services without private networking set up. The #1 skill a company needs if it wants to leverage the cloud is network engineering/security.
There are things like Azure ExpressRoute and AWS DirectConnect that give you private access to the cloud providers own backbone network infrastructure to avoid sending traffic over the public internet.
And if you are worried about securing the data at rest, you have everything available to encrypt and protect it. In my experience the problem is not that "the cloud" is insecure but companies trying to avoid the extra mile to properly set up their infrastructure for the sake of saving money and efforts.
Sure, the hardware is not owned by you. But why should it be? Running this stuff at hyperscale is the more efficient and ultimately secure and reliable way.
I might just move a few things to Resilio Sync and/or Cryptomator where possible, altho I wonder if you feel similarly about such quasi-replacements. I definitely need something that preserves something somewhere dynamically so I don't have the worry about data loss which would absolutely be catastrophic. Some things are impractical to constantly have to manually and consciously version control to preserve, is the way I would phrase my sentiments.
Maybe it's nothing, or maybe it's freudian, but email existed before Google, so did calendar. Youtube was an acquisition. Maps, well, there are great alternatives now that do not require anal-probe-level surveillance to find an address or a route.
Just publicly fund the services that are useful to people. If "government" (i.e. us) can pay for a square for people to meet at, why not "digital spaces"?
And if someone's thinking "but government will use this data to surveil people!" - this ship has sailed, they have access to everything that's not e2ee, and even that's not guaranteed.
Government is practically the only body that can be expected to follow laws and act with people's best interest in mind. Some governments even do, just need a non-dystopian one...
And yes, there's commercial space in government/local authority-operated places. That's fine, just make sure to boot those that decide to install the equivalent of cameras and microphones on their storefront.
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