I'm guessing he will get a bigger number, maybe even 30-50. But considering SBF and his personality, he doesn't seem like the guy that would ruffle too many feathers with prison officials and will most likely be released in half the time on account of good behavior.
> Federal law allows a credit of 54 days for every 365 days (or one year) of good behavior. To be eligible for early release, a person must be sentenced to more than one year in prison. ...
> The maximum number of days that can be awarded for good conduct is 54. The Bureau of Prisons has discretion to award any number of days less than 54 based on its evaluation of the inmate’s conduct.
If sentenced to 30 years in federal prison, you'd be serving 85% of that time -- a bit over 26 years (after 26 years, 1404 days will be credited which is 3.8 years).
Motor fuel sales cannot be the sole main indicator for a "death spiral that can end oil".
Oil/Petroleum products are massively employed in the manufacture of daily life items (pretty much maybe everything, not just plastics) and cutting the usage of petroleum products in that area will be the real death spiral that can end oil.
I think we only really care about the oil being burned, not merely used as chemical feedstock. In this regard we do also have to care about oil fuel heating, oil fuelled power stations, and the transport that uses oil derivatives but not normal petrol stations (flying, shipping, non-electrified rail, probably some others too), so I would still say this is a good start rather than the actual end of oil, but for different reasons to you.
Peak oil is still a thing, and we will still need to shift the feedstocks to something renewable, but the schedule doesn't need to be the same.
Not eliciting sympathy or anything - I've been in this country since the age of 12, but don't qualify for a green card since I turned 21 before my parents could get theirs. Even that's fine. I've been here for 14 years, I went to school here, I worked hard to get a job and be where I'm today.
However, I got screwed on the H-1B lottery these last 3 years (when over 50% of the applications are fraud, what else can you say). I wake up every day to face the rather realistic prospect of leaving everything behind - my family, my girlfriend of 3-4 years (who happens to be from a different country herself), my pet dog, my entire social network, my professional career/network.
I know I'm not entitled to being here, but I'm frightened at the prospect of returning to a country where I cannot speak the local language or understand the local working culture. I just don't know any other place in the world better than I know the United States.
I love this country from the bottom of my heart for everything it's given me in my life, and it hurts to see that nothing has changed, and seems like nothing will. I've paid my taxes dutifully, and I'll be willing to give back in any way, shape or form. But I don't get to make that choice :')
I know someone like you who had to leave. It sucks. Hope it works out for you. I don't understand how people like you are ignored when politicians support DACA, and similar programs, for people are in exactly the same situation as you, but came here illegally.
FWIW, I support those programs, but wish it included both legal and illegal immigrants.
This is worrisome - joined Amazon ~4 months ago because it seemed like the most sensible thing to do considering my immigration status. Have one last attempt left at the H-1B lottery; PERM is underway but no hopes of getting it finished before STEM OPT runs out. Was thinking of getting married to my girlfriend soon, but not too sure about that anymore (she's in the 3rd year of her PhD so she cannot really move with me) if I'm going to get axed considering the job market isn't the best either. Not hyped about the prospect of moving to my home country since I have not lived there since I was 9. F*k, life just hasn't been kind these last couple years.
US doesn’t give out a permanent residency based on how long you lived in the country. There’s only a few common paths to immigration: employment sponsored (2-20 years), marriage based (1-3 years), other family based (2-20 years), investor based (1-3 years). Student or tourist years don’t matter.
FWIW, it does not seem like an uncommon reaction. My wife had a similar questions bordering on disbelief, when I was giving her a glimpse of current US immigration system based on my experience alone.
The way the current immigration system works is not taught at all in schools. Maybe if you’re lucky you get taught about the Ellis Island days where all you had to do was prove you had enough money not to starve and not have any signs of infectious disease like tuberculosis.
It's pretty wild. I'm a US citizen, and getting my Japanese wife a green card took years and thousands of dollars. I wish people understood how ridiculous the system is before they went out and voted about it.
Stuff like how the government would just randomly send me a letter and say "Hey, asshole, give us another $800." In my case it's like "OK" but for most Americans living paycheck-to-paycheck that would be a catastrophic event
Shopify seems to be moving from an asset-light to asset-heavy mode, but also significantly dialing down their investor communication: this is just so unlike them, considering how things have always been.