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I am confused as well. Maybe you could share a reference? I am trying to understand how this would affect 401K/IRAs for people leaving the US.


The comment above should clarify a few things.

Unfortunately, I don't have a reference, as I was told this by an advisor from PWC a few years ago. I guess you could contact any good tax consultant, tell him the details, and let him look into it. I have no idea about how 401K works in the US.



Can you recommend a few of those hot papers? I would love to read about that more.


Can you elaborate that? Under what assumptions will real estate beat what benchmark?


Real estate is the only asset class where you can very easily get 10-20x leverage, and at rates that are only modestly above the risk free rate.

If you used $1,000,000 to buy $20,000,000 worth of property in San Francisco, and you wanted to get a 15% annual return to beat the market, the numbers would look like this:

You’d be paying around $600,000 in interest, say you’ve got another $100,000 in expenses, and you want to get $150,000 for your return. That’s $850,000 that needs to come from somewhere, in San Francisco I think the rent to price ratio is about 1:50, so that’s $400,000 in rent, and the remaining $450,000 needs to come from house prices increasing. So to beat the market your property assets needs to appreciate by 2.25%, or about what the fed targets inflation to be.

This is only possible because the mortgage is a very unique debt instrument. As far as access to cheap debt goes, it is comparable only to the highest credit corporate and sovereign bonds. The only type of debt that a regular consumer has access to, that is somewhat comparable, are subsides student loans.


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