Great point. This Board nearly destroyed one of the world's great tech companies and they are STILL in charge after not being held accountable or admitting their mistakes over the past decade +
The only reason INTC isn't in a death spiral is because the US Govt. won't let that happen
They did reshuffle their board a bit after firing Pat to bring in some people with industry and domain expertise and not just academics / outside industry folks.
Companies can decide today that they don't need near-perfect accuracy in bookkeeping to save a few bucks and no one does that. One of the major factors is regulatory requirements. Even without I'm sure investors would apply a hefty discount to any public company that decided to save a few pennies on accountants while sacrificing accuracy.
For me, It does bother me that some of my friendships I make most, or nearly all of the initiative, but I get so much from the friendship when we do talk / meet up, it's worth it for me to swallow my pride and ignore it. In 99% of cases they aren't deliberately ignoring you, they just got busy, etc.
The friends that make 0 effort however I cut out. You gotta give me something to work with...
One of the most smartest people you'll ever read or speak to. It seems he has at least a modest understanding of important topics in almost any field you can mention, and an impressive mastery in a few dozen. From Brutalist architecture, tennis to Latin American art.
He talks and writes about politics, but rarely if ever is dogmatic or partisan. Has no problem admitting he was wrong about something, or that he doesn't know the answer (depressingly rare).
I highly recommend his blog and podcast. IMO the most underrated interviewer in the game. Each of his guests he researches deeply and always asks the most incisive, intelligent questions you wish you had thought of.
TC is fairly popular among the HN set but could always be more widely known.
I first learned about him when I moved to DC and discovered Tyler Cowen's Ethnic Dining Guide (https://tylercowensethnicdiningguide.com/) which had my family and I traveling all over the DC metro area trying some of the cool picks from the list. I am amazed that he has time to keep it up given all the other stuff he's up to, but I think that sort of sums up his nature :)
Yes! When I travel anywhere, I look to see if Tyler Cowen has been there first - he has recommendations for what to see, how to see it, and what to eat.
Alcohol has been scientifically proven to cause long-term health consequences to children. It is also an incredibly addictive and dangerous substance that often results in lifetime debilitation, cancers, and other deadly diseases.
This is not in any way similar to video games.
This entire thread seems to be overrun with Tankies or CCP bots.
I'm not sure a country that commits cultural genocide and sent a million or more Muslim Uighurs into reeducation camps is where you should be looking for a "better system". Forced sterilization, forced labor...
Or a country that has no freedom of the press, savagely beats or murders political dissidents, will take away your job and livelihood if you dare question CCP orthodoxy...
The fact that you think is somehow morally equivalent to an NDA is just absolutely astonishing.
Well, the US did kinda oops away a million Muslims in response to 9/11, and over a half-million Americans in lack of response to COVID19. And we do have that whole gitmo thing. Plus, we had the whole slavery bit we keep forgetting about. I could list this stuff for a while, but that's besides the point.
It's not the current state that matters, but possible future outcome.
We're both hill-climbing trying to improve systems from an imperfect present. The US is higher up its hill than China right now, but it's not clear that China won't pass the US in a few decades. Or the US will race ahead. Or how other systems will fare.
It's also not clear how those will change as the world itself evolves.
I like having a diversity of political and economic systems, even is some are better than others. I also like a diversity of cultures, even if there are ones I strongly disagree with.
No, I'm not defending the CCP's actions, and my best argument for the CCP is that I'd like a diversity of economic, political, and cultural systems around the world. I don't like monocultures. They're brittle.
If you live in a place like the Bay Area/NYC where cities/local zoning boards are preventing almost and and all new construction then in all likelihood your home price will continue to appreciate throughout your lifetime.
Supply and demand. There are way more people that want to live in these places than houses available. And we keep making new people every year.
I'm not sure they'll even drop if building codes are relaxed. After all, those SFH owners also own the land beneath their house. The price per square foot of living space could drop while the price per square foot of land goes up.
Any change will take 20 years to start working through the system.
That said, prices will change. SFH owners move once in a while. Even if you live in the same house for 50 years (about the max possible given human lifespans), someone else on your block will move every few years. When someone moves a developer will look at the location and decide if it is wroth buying the house for the lot, tearing down and building something else. Right now in the Bay you could buy a lot of SFHs, tear them down, replace with a 10-plex and rent it out for enough to make it worth it. (Assuming zoning codes would allow this without a large cost over the cost of labor and materials) Eventually though housing will catch up and rent will fall until it isn't worth it.
We can't prove the above because of course zoning codes won't let you do it.
> There are way more people that want to live in these places than houses available.
That's like the saying "government bonds are 0 risk." It's usually true, til it isn't.
These problems with housing costs in these cities absolutely will make the cities less desirable, I think we will see a large deurbanization period in north america very soon and you'll see most of these cities that are constricting supply of housing crumble like Detroit.
There's actually a really robust-looking study just out in the UK sampling the population to find how much less likely vaccinated people are to be positive for Covid than non-vaccinated people: https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/latest-react-1-study-...
Apparently the answer is that they're a third as likely to have it as the unvaccinated. Which certainly isn't nothing, and it's definitely better than the flu vaccine managed, but it does suggest that there's probably no way we're going to stop the spread of the Delta variant through any level of vaccination no matter what the US media claims. It also means that any hope of avoiding selective pressure for vaccine escape by just vaccinating people quickly enough is likely to prove futile. We also don't really have any special exemptions or privileges for vaccinated people yet outside of laxer requirements for international travel, so that wouldn't explain why the gap is so small.
(Incidentally, the "quick peak and decline in countries with high levels of vaccination" like the UK almost certainly isn't simply a result of vaccines working, despite the CJR article's attempt to spin it that way. All our experts over here seem to be in agreement that not only are the vaccines not effective enough to explain that, it just doesn't make sense to have such a sudden peak and decline as a result of our vaccination program - which has actually been slowing down as it runs out of willing recipients - or from natural immunity in combination with it. They reckon it must be caused in part by people's behaviour, and if we return to normal or autumn hits cases will go up again.)
>they're a third as likely to have it as the unvaccinated
In the week ending 07/31 MA was getting about 600/day, 200 of them are vaccinated. The number of vaccinated are 4.2M out of 7.1M. Thus according to that data the probability for a vaccinated is just under 40% of unvaccinated.
Giving that Delta is several times more virulent the current situation can be thought that way - the vaccinated facing Delta today is like unvaccinated facing original year ago (year ago totally unvaccinated MA had 400-500/day, and if MA was totally vaccinated today, 7.1M instead of 4.2M, it would as result be 350cases/day instead of the 200). I.e. these numbers also suggest that there is no good way to stop the spread until Delta capable vaccine comes.
That also highlights the propaganda spin of "just 125K breakthroughs out of 160M vaccinated since January", the widely tweeted 0.08% (especially giving that CDC hasn't been counting non-hospitalizations breakthroughs since May, and that number seems definitely incorrect as MA having 2.5% of vaccinated has 7K total breakthroughs - almost 6% of 125K) - the Delta is pretty recent and the total number isn't the point, the point is the current infection rate of vaccinated vs. unvaccinated.
Just chiming in to add some data I ran across earlier today. The spreadsheet showcases data from Israel which was updated yesterday, 8/3/21. I found it very valuable as it broke down demographics by age and vaccination status.
This clearly shows a significant portion of the new cases are among the vaccinated.
Anecdotally, those I know who have "breakthrough" cases are having fairly moderate flu-like symptoms. I am quite confident those who are symptomatic are capable of spreading illness even if the vaccinated as a population are less likely to transmit disease.
Your response is extremely typical mix of mis-information (see below), generally stated principles bordering in their generality on banality and absence of any data.
>nothing anywhere close to this has been shown in any other country.
"This echoes data seen from studies in other countries, including highly vaccinated Singapore, where 75 percent of new infections reportedly occur in people who are partially and fully vaccinated."
>Your response is extremely typical - just generally stated principles bordering in their generality on banality and without any ounce of data.
Y'see in SCIENCE we have this generally stated principle that we don't draw empirical conclusions from a dataset of a few hundred observations.
How banal!
"This echoes data seen from studies in other countries, including highly vaccinated Singapore, where 75 percent of new infections reportedly occur in people who are partially and fully vaccinated."
This does absolutely nothing to back up your claim that vaccinated people are just as likely to spread the Delta variant.
But please ask for help next time you move those goalposts, I wouldn't want you hurting yourself.
>Y'see in SCIENCE we have this generally stated principle that we don't draw empirical conclusions from a dataset of a few hundred observations.
the statistics would disagree with you on how representative a random draw of several hundred would be in this situation. Anyway, just an example related to the situation - Moderna stage 2 (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7871769/):
"Between 29 May and 8 July 2020, 600 participants were randomized, 300 per age cohort. [...]
Conclusions
Vaccination with mRNA-1273 resulted in significant immune responses to SARS-CoV-2 in participants 18 years and older, with an acceptable safety profile, confirming the safety and immunogenicity of 50 and 100 µg mRNA-1273 given as a 2 dose-regimen.
"
>This does absolutely nothing to back up your claim that vaccinated people are just as likely to spread the Delta variant.
beside obvious statistical arithmetic clearly showing it (whihc i guess is pointless to discuss giving your statistics statements above), you probably missed the part about nasal viral content in vaccinated people being similar to that of unvaccinated and hint - this infection is airborne. This is why CDC introduced mask mandate for everybody.
"The higher the amount of coronavirus in the nose and throat, the more likely the patient will infect others. In one Wisconsin county, after Delta became predominant, researchers analyzed viral loads on nose-and-throat swab samples obtained when patients were first diagnosed. They found similar viral loads in vaccinated and unvaccinated patients, with levels often high enough to allow shedding of infectious virus. "
So you bring up the "I have the DATA!" Trump card and then when asked to provide it your response is, "well, no, where is YOUR DATA?"
That long Covid is a pernicious result for many people with debilitating effects is well established in the literature, it's not controversial.
That refusing to get the virus under control will lead to further variants potentially worse than Delta that perhaps the vaccines are less able to guard against. Not some crazy conspiracy!
What this is ultimately about is many of our fellow citizens believe "my choice" and "freedom" means the "freedom" to infect other people with a potentially debilitating virus rather than they be mildly inconvenienced.
"Whatever you think of them, the Tesla fanboys have been proven more right then wrong"
I'm not sure why that's interesting or important. The Tesla fanboys had no special insight into Tesla, Elon or anything. They are part of a cult of personality that bought the marketing hook, line, and sinker.
Only about a year ago there were hundreds of Trevor Milton fanboys all over HN, Reddit and elsewhere just sure that Nikola was the next Tesla and anyone that didn't agree was just "bitter" or had no vision. Where are they now?
There's no difference between either group of fanboys, really. Other than one got lucky and their cult leader delivered on some of his claims.
The only reason INTC isn't in a death spiral is because the US Govt. won't let that happen