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You complicate the issue too much.

What would you prefer, to live in a Somalia with 0% public debt or in a Japan with 300% public debt? And why? Because in one there is real infrastructure and knowledge and the other not so much.

Or if we want to go all science fiction. In what future do you prefer to live? One with economic fusion, artificial intelligence, and robots that do the entire job but a 300% debt or a future of 0% debt and less technology or infrastructure that today.

Debt is a political arrangement and organizational issue. Real wealth comes, surprise, from real wealth.



You aren't wrong. I believe in economic acceleration but there is a limit to how far you can take it, which we are now testing with ZIRP. In this case the central banks kept their feet on the gas pedals too long out of political fears of a global depression. Global depressions suck but they are also very useful in that they create healthy periods of intense asset reallocation to prevent malinvestment. Did (largely successful) Japanese attempts to prop up their economy in the 90s and 00s prevent more acute pain but also kill an entire generation of Japanese entrepreneurs who would have cut their teeth with blood in the streets? Instead of healthy reallocation, we have far less targeted broad asset inflation in an attempt to keep economic acceleration going when we are already near the point where GDP growth equals debt service requirements and I don't think it ends well. It's also interesting that ZIRP screams ''maximize your human capital'' at the same time that automation threatens opportunities for the bottom rungs of the work force, and it's not clear how that dilemma will be resolved.




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