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> he doesn't "understand"[1] it

This! is exactly what made tech such an easy investment growth. Mainstream (2008) investors use three things to size a company: Industry and Market, Challenges, Production. Mainstream didn't get it. Underground did. And they were able to get in early on the action.

In virtually every traditional industry, production is simple and easy to measure, like coal mining for example. "See how quickly you can mine coal and compare that to how quickly you are mining coal."

But in Tech, every new product is a different raw material. The market is tested each time a new raw material is introduced. (Nobody knew the first iPhone was going to be a hit until the day the iPhone was sold, and THEN Apple's stock went up.)

For traditional investors, they don't understand what the question is when a new product is introduced (ex. Kevin O'Leary). The user however does understand. And that is what makes an investment a no-brainer.

However, these days, the traditional investors are not investing in Apple because they get the tech. Instead, they are betting on Apple specifically as a machine for tech production, regardless of product. I still don't think they get it.



But in Tech, every new product is a different raw material

More like you've gone up 1 level in the tech tree, and tech level n-1 items are the crafting components of level n. (I'm writing a game with a procedurally generated tech tree like this.)


But in Tech, every new product is a different raw material.

This is not just exclusive to tech. Board games, books, Toyota are all are their own 'raw material.'




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