AGI sounds like fuzzy logic. We know how far that got. It will make some companies money though, it's snake oil. Computers even thousands of years from now will never be able to do what a programmer with 1 year of experience can do today, it's the advantage of being human.
Halfway through 2016, "a programmer with 1 year of experience" using nothing by Python, numpy and a couple of spare weeks could roll their own convolutional neural net to identify images with high-90-percent accuracy.
I dunno about you but that sounds like a significant advance to me.
Computers have less than a century of history so far and you're already able to predict the next thousands of years? Sounds like a religious belief to me.
