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Serious question: Why do you think that and how did you get there?

Real returns 1950-2009 are 7% [1], so my numbers are already rounded down a bit. You might further adjust for, say Shiller 10 year P/E numbers, but how complex do you want to make it?

[1] http://www.simplestockinvesting.com/SP500-historical-real-to...



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