You can't predict Black Swan events by looking at the past... by that logic 2008 shouldn't have happened because the markets were going up for so long. Actually I would stay out of predicting the future in absolutes myself... things are at best probabilistic.
There are over 2,500,000 Kilotons of nuclear warheads out there. Nagasaki and Hiroshima combined received about 38 Kilotons. Extrapolate from the realization that all of that death and destruction represents, in absolute terms, .000152% of the current arsenal.
There must be several orders of magnitude more steel rolling around the streets and highways, crashing in to people's living rooms, moving down cyclists, being used as weapons by drunks and crazies.
Threat of nuclear destruction doesn't factor in to my threat analysis at all. I'm more worried about data corruption in my photos backups, or my dog getting hit by a car, or dropping a 5000kg load of steel on myself, or someone else, at work.
That's why global problems like nuclear stockpiles and global climate change will kill us, while people are busy sorting their albums of pet photos. You're not wrong to focus on what you can control or at least change, but you're wrong to utterly shut out the rest, and contribute to your own demise as a result.
Well, we don't know that exactly as long as we keep stockpiling them throughout the world.