> You write that the frequentist doesn't answer the question, but it does. It answers
> P(H') = (H/H+T)^H'
That's not the probability of getting H' heads in a row. It's an estimate of the probability of getting H' heads in a row based on a Maximum Likelihood estimation.
It doesn't make much sense if you take it to be the probability of getting H' heads in a row. For example, if {H=1, T=0}, then P(H'=100) = 1. You looked at one flip, and then decided that every subsequent flip was guaranteed to be heads?
It becomes even more clear that the question isn't really being answered if you take {H=0, T=0}.
That's not the probability of getting H' heads in a row. It's an estimate of the probability of getting H' heads in a row based on a Maximum Likelihood estimation.
It doesn't make much sense if you take it to be the probability of getting H' heads in a row. For example, if {H=1, T=0}, then P(H'=100) = 1. You looked at one flip, and then decided that every subsequent flip was guaranteed to be heads?
It becomes even more clear that the question isn't really being answered if you take {H=0, T=0}.