> So, IF you can get to viable technology for specific use cases, there's not much reason to think you can't get to workable economics.
This seems like a good analysis, but are there particularly good reasons to believe we will be able to produce a car that drives through an urban environment, at any cost?
Some day. At this point, IMO it would be foolish to say never or not for a century. We could find ourselves in a place where the current path that's mostly deep learning gets close but not close enough. But we seem to be moving forward pretty well even if the last 5 to 10% takes a couple decades longer than many people think.
But I'm still inclined to think that generalized door-to-door autonomy without a competent human present is still a long way out.
This seems like a good analysis, but are there particularly good reasons to believe we will be able to produce a car that drives through an urban environment, at any cost?