> The original official (from Tesla/Musk) estimate for mass production (5k / week) of Tesla 3 was 2020. In 2014 they moved that back by 2 years to early 2018. In late 2017 they moved that forward by 6 months, to mid 2018.
A friendly correction: funnily enough, the terms 'moving/pushing back' and ' moving/bringing forward' in time work in the opposite way to how non-native English speakers (such as myself) tend to understand and use them. The mental image I use to remember it has the event looking at me from the future, so bringing it 'forward' moves it closer to where I stand, in the present.
They probably won't reach 5,000 a week until in the second half of the year. They're at 1,000 a week right now.
Still, at least the car seems great. Being a year behind in production is not going to matter that much in the long-term, even if say 50,000 people cancel their orders. They'll probably keep the pipeline full for the next 3-4 years, while still steadily increasing production. I'm sure larger carmakers have had such delays for at least some of their car models, too.
A year in a production means by the time they are shipping cars, competitors are 1 year better. Nissan has increased range on the LEAF from 2012 84mi to 2018 151mi, and targeting 2018 225mi
I thought everyone knew the general consensus with Musk's time frames were to always add 3 years to the promise? It's not bad but I can't remember an time estimate they have reached successfully with any of the companies?
Estimated 20k in December and ended up being just 1,500. May as well have said they'd make a million of them lol.