Scooters and electric bicycles are the sensible form of electric mobility, but everybody talks about electric cars. Which makes sense, since billion dollar companies can make a lot more money selling cars than cheap scooters and bicycles.
Small electric vehicles effectively solve the last mile problem of public transport.
It solves everything for 18-35 year olds without kids in a city in California, as long as you do not get into or cause an accident.
When you get hurt or hurt someone through your actions, you’ll have the problem is of dealing with injury or liability without insurance.
If you live in a place that is not California and has wind, rain, snow, etc, you have a solution that works some days. I bike about 8-10 miles to work, but end up doing it about 40% of the time, because life.
I work in Cambridge, MA and I see families with children and babies on bikes all the time. I see them bike in the rain, snow, and heat. Of course when there's a bad storm you won't see many (if any bike) but neither would you see vehicles driving about either).
I don't really see this as an ageist argument. More of people don't want to give up their comforts because they aren't paying the true external costs.
> Scooters and electric bicycles are the sensible form of electric mobility, but everybody talks about electric cars.
Yes, because cars make sense when you've got more than your own arse to haul. Or when you don't want to end up in your destination dripping wet. Or when you want to sit in a warm cabin instead of fighting frostburns on a bicycle. Or when you don't want to be slipping on ice or getting stuck in snow..
All of these points are brought up a lot, but none of them are really valid. Cargo bikes (with electric assist, if you wish) can haul a tremendous amount of cargo or multiple kids. And weather is really only a problem if you're badly equipped. Get a hardshell jacket and some rainpants, and rain is no longer a problem. Get a warm jacket, gloves, and a hat against the cold (maybe some warm leggings if it gets really cold). And people not knowing how to behave on icy roads is a major problem if that person is steering a car. On a properly equipped bike, not so much.
> All of these points are brought up a lot, but none of them are really valid.
Dude, I've been cycling in all weather for 20 years. I've been hauling stuff, small and big, light and heavy. It's not as simple as you make it out to be. I've gotten stuck in snow so many times. Turns out a bicycle just doesn't have a whole lot of traction or stability when riding a crumbling layer of snow on ice. No, studs don't fix it, and cargo definitely doesn't help it. At least I can hop off and hike the bike, but maybe not if it's a heavy electric cargo bike with guitars and work equipment loaded.
I've gotten soaked so many times, and even if I've got an outer layer that keeps me dry, there are many destinations you might want to go to where they don't exactly have the facilities for you to strip and put away dripping rain gear. I've also got my cargo soaked so many times, turns out protecting the cargo from water isn't quite as easy as putting a nice jacket on. I can only imagine how much harder it gets when you're trying to haul big cargo. And I've gotten soaked many times because weather can be unpredictable and having full rain gear on you where ever you go is a little too nuts.
And no matter how much I dress, getting glasses completely dirtied with water mist or the face blasted with wind when it's -35degC outside isn't any fun, at all. I'd say I'm a rather avid cyclist, hell I rode my fixed gear road bike with 25mm road wheels to work, on snow and ice, on the coldest of winter days, because the grease on my winter bike's freewheel stiffened up and prevented the pawls from engaging. I go pretty far. But I would not expect the general population to want or even be able to put up with anywhere near as much.
And then you need to make a trip longer than you can handle on a bike.
You bring up edge case after edge case. Yeah, -35C isn’t cycling weather but it’s also not something that most people who use cold as an excuse not to cycle to work ever experience on their commute. Most don’t transport sensitive musical equipment either. Or work somewhere they can’t hang a wet jacket.
There are circumstances where your arguments apply, but they’re none of the typical situations encountered by most people who are making excuses why they “can’t” cycle.
There might be solutions to those points, but as a person who has sought to use alternate transportation for over thirty years, I’ll say that every g-ddamned one of those points is valid. At the extreme, I posit that anyone arguing that a single-track vehicle is fine on icy roads[0] falls into the category of “true believer” that is blind to the practical considerations of others.
[0] studs just mean you fall down less frequently. Oh, but fall you will after a non-trivial distance.
It is the same line of excuses that many make when buying a motorcycle. The problem in the end is the same. Suddenly there is an excuse NOT to ride one day and then it multiplies until your back at square one.
Rain doesn't also make you wet it makes your ride more dangerous so without traction control and ABS on your scooter your have suddenly multiplied your risk many times and this is just for your riding and not for all those others trying to do the same or driving full size vehicles.
Against the cold only works so far before your again at risk or simply cannot bundle up enough. Then one has to ask, why not ride the bus if available? When it gets to freezing you run the risk of hypothermia and icy conditions on your drive plus reduced range and charging. A bike on icy roads worse than a car? Let me give you a hint, you cannot fall off four wheels and you cannot fall over either.
Seriously, scooters and bikes and even motorcycles have their place but be realistic in trying to dismiss all the difficulties and risks associated. The number one risk is simply falling over and people do that all to well.
Or... I'll just drive a car. It's true that I could weather it all myself but I care about the safety and comfort of my family and would rather ferry them (and myself) in modern machines instead of huffing and puffing on a bike with a wagon.
There's a time and place for evreything, but minimizing needs as "just wear some rainpants" doesn't convince anyone.
Cargo bikes? Rain gear? Heavy jackets? Nobody wants to live like that. Why should the future be constantly uncomfortable?
This is why I started hating urbanism: it's full of people whose entire argument is to deny the reality of other people's experience. Biking in the rain doesn't suck, crowded trains aren't uncomfortable, cargo bikes aren't exhausting, "wear a jacket", etc.
We hate these things. I do not want to live in this world you describe. It sounds miserable.
I don't deny that sitting in a car in awful weather is more comfortable than cycling. I'm challenging cheap dismissals of cycling as a whole because the weather is awful for ten days of the year (unless you live in a place with daily tropical rainfalls or something), and I'm pointing out how people who live without a car deal with these things.
> I'm challenging cheap dismissals of cycling as a whole
Then you're in the wrong place. Nobody here dismissed cycling as a whole. I'm an avid cyclist but I also recognize the downsides of it, and I understand why cycling is not a stellar choice for many people. If you read my first message in this thread again, you'll see that I outlined a few examples of specific scenarios when cycling isn't a good choice.
I live in a place with four seasons. There's way more awful weather than ten days a year. Winter -- with ice and snow -- lasts months. Autumn with lots of rain and mud and chilly weather lasts a couple months. Spring, featuring meltwater everywhere, loose mud everywhere, and then again ice everywhere becaus it got cold again and the meltwater & mud froze lasts long enough too. Summer isn't without its storms and rainy days.
"Edge case after edge case" are something I regularly run into, every year. And the people around me do too. They are common enough that it is not unreasonable for people to consider a car.
They certainly do. But global warming isn't what's at issue here. Plenty of less drastic reforms (electric cars) offer the possibility of stopping global warming.
I challenge you to ride a bike for 20 minutes in rain gear during a Florida thunderstorm in July.
You could get most of those things using an electric cargo bike with a canopy roof/windscreen.
It wouldn't solve the Fred Flintstone problem — The Man must provide the propulsion for all of his family because Man — but that's a social hurdle, not a technical one.
I don't think it's roof or windscreen, it's both if you want to stay dry. That's a big increase in size, mass, and wind resistance (including susceptibility to side winds that can tip you over). That might have you consider having more than two wheels for stability, and windshield wipers, and a big battery to haul all that... at some point, we'll be wondering whether it's a car with pedals or a bike?
You can build electric cars that are traditional two ton vehicles or you could build electric "cars" that weigh 95% less but still protect you from the elements. Like the PodRide https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F4xgpOBrEp4
You must live somewhere warm. I'm getting sad just thinking of my winter commute. Winter is coming. Bleargh.
Wait, there's magic bubble of warmth and comfort that will take me to my destination without having to mill around with the other cold yet sweaty 99% Chimpanzees in their puffy insulated layers? Sold!
> Wait, there's magic bubble of warmth and comfort that will take me to my destination without having to mill around with the other cold yet sweaty 99% Chimpanzees in their puffy insulated layers? Sold!
A lot of people don't actually seem to be sold on this, though. They seem aggrieved when it isn't also faster than walking, cycling and public transport, because they've been sold a top speed. In the local news this week: https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manches...
But a car takes up several times more area on the ground, compared to the same number of people walking or using wheelchairs, bicycles or buses — there just isn't room for every individual to have that level of luxury and leave room to move at speed.
A lot of places don't have Costco or anything remotely close, and people do fine. Most European cities typically ban big box retailers within the city limits. For the occasional heavy stuff, I've been able to order groceries online for nearly 15 years.
Functioning public transit gives a lot of freedom to elderly people who cannot drive anymore. Much more than individual cars.
Well, the actual argument is "Some people can’t use bikes, therefore banning cars is dumb".
EDIT: I made a factual statement. If you downvote me for it, at least have the courtesy to say why. If there's something dumb, it's downvoting for factual statements that aren't even expressing either opinion.
Huh, what? Saying that anyone says "bikes are dumb" isn't making up what people are talking about? The argument revolves around the fact that there are a lot of situations when a car(-like vehicle) is appropriate, not that bikes are dumb as a whole. Literally no one says bikes are dumb.
Not your comment, but since you're willing to step in to defend OP:
> "or had elderly parents. When someone needs to use a walker, good luck getting them on a bicycle. Plus, where do you carry the walker?"
This is a straw man argument, since at no point was anyone saying that Grandpa has to cube the car and hop on the saddle. The fact that some people cannot use a bike is a terrible argument against using bikes in general. That's like saying "well, some people are blind, so let's just ban cars".
I agree. The problem is that these cases exist - and it can be as simple as being temporarily ill (food poisoning can really impact you). I think this argument is important to answer because if the answer is "everyone who has a disablement card can ride a car", then we need to go to the next step in the discussion - for example this summer I got so ill that I was unable to walk 700 meters to the store. IMO we should talk about all such cases before if we talk about even a partial ban because it could seriously impact someone, even if their case is only temporary.
If the main point is "we should promote using bikes/public transport instead of cars", I think no one disagrees about that - and that's why an extreme case gets mentioned, because there is no point in talking about a mild case and there is still a lot of people that want a full ban.
There's a reason motorcycles are common in the summer in WA State, but very rare in the winter. You'll arrive completely drenched if you're not in a car. Not only is there rain, sometimes sideways rain, but also lots of roadway spray. At times, there are "greyout" conditions where you can't see more than 100 feet down the freeway, for all the water in the air.
Seattle's former Mayor Mike McGinn used a bicycle to commute, and often arrived at city meetings as a sweaty and smelly person. Most businesses don't have a shower for bicyclists.
Most businesses don't have a shower for bicyclists.
Which is exactly the point. Why do business have endless space (theirs or public) for people to park their cars, yet don't have the minimal infrastructure for two wheel commuters? Because the conversation surrounding mobility is still mostly about cars.
I’ll agree that motorcycle use drops off dramatically during the winter in WA. I did a gig at a large coffee comapny’s corporate HQ, and in the summer motorcycle parking was packed and finding a space could be difficult. In winter, there were days I’d be the only bike.
But one does not have to get soaked. It’ll take $1000 worth of gear, but I arrive bone-dry every day. Aerostich Darien, good boots, decent gloves. Finding a place to hang the dripping gear when you get there can be a problem.
In the end, gear or not, as what some consider to be a “hard-core” rider I will say it’s still easier to toss the bag in the car and turn the key on a rainy day. Which wraps us around to what I take to be your point: for all-round use and convenience in all conditions, it’s hard to beat a car. Unless one lives close to work in southern California, there are plenty of scenarios where one better be “dedicated to the cause” to use alternate transportation year-round.
People like comfort, and don't like to change their behavior. That is why. Same reason why nobody was interested in the original Insight (2 door, dorky, 70mpg), but the Prius (just like a regular hatch, 50mpg) sold like hotcakes
Electric cars are more impressive to the average person, especially the quiet smooth acceleration compared to ICE cars. And of course they have AC and comfy seats and all that, which appeals to people's comfortable laziness.
But the real transport revolution is a combination of public transit and bikes/scooters for the so-called last mile.
I really support this and am an avid cyclist myself. But this really only works in temperate (and dry) climates. If it rains, we'll have a hard time to convince people to use something without a build-in roof.
I honestly wouldn't feel safe on an electric scooter, especially as scooter traffic increases. Likewise, there's a stat/research that was recently shared in another thread on HN referencing increase in accidents/collisions relating to a decrease in gas costs, meaning poorer people - who drive less and other factors would impact them too - get onto the road again, and this same demographic who can't normally afford to drive would then be able to afford scooters. Yes, this is good for accessibility - assuming they are fit to drive or "scoot."
As a pedestrian or as a driver of a vehicle? And if a pedestrian, it's clear people are complaining that there are people are riding on sidewalks - when perhaps they shouldn't - so that seems less safe.
And that's a pretty general statement. Could you explain why you feel safe unsafe with cars around you?
> Could you explain why you feel safe unsafe with cars around you?
A 150lb person on a scooter or bike runs into somebody at 15mph; the most likely outcome is everybody walks away, with small chances of death, and mediocre chances of broken bones.
A 3500lb car doesn't see a scooter, bicyclist, pedestrian and turns into them; and your best outcome approaches serious injury and your expected outcome becomes death.
woefully overinvested streets and underinvested sidewalks; And woefully under trained drivers.
As possible counters: vehicles are larger, and pedestrians are more likely to see and/or hear them; this changes with electric vehicles becoming more silent, however should be counter-balanced and improved with AI and autonomous driving protecting pedestrians.
I'm quite certain scooters go faster than 15mph as well? I could be wrong though. You also don't expect vehicles to drive on the sidewalk, however as I said, scooters on the sidewalk seems to be a problem; equally what can be dangerous are motorized wheelchairs who I've experienced a few times going full speed, driving recklessly.
Most of the electric scooters (Lime/Bird) will only accelerate to 15 w/ the motor (a hill or serious kicking can potentially make it go faster to the rolling speed limitation)
A quick google tells me that motorized wheelchairs are speed limited to 6-8mph.
Your comment that pedestrians see/hear cars is concerning, as if you've never walked a street before;
A) the increased speed, makes both of these more unknown
B) road noise from other traffic
c) intersections mean that even with seeing, hearing, a car can still run straight into a pedestrian in a crosswalk with a last minute turn.
"Your comment that pedestrians see/hear cars is concerning, as if you've never walked a street before;"
... both parties need to be paying attention, especially when crossing streets - that's what accountability is; I can't stop laughing at your "concern" like I've never walked on a sidewalk before. :)
8pm is roughly ~13 kmph, walking speed is 5-6 kmph - I've definitely seen, at least here in Canada, motorized wheelchairs going 3x+ faster than walking; maybe they weren't legal.
The rest of what you said is of course true, I was comparing the physical size of a scooter vs. a vehicle though. Riding a bicycle has its dangers too, though more equally for a pedestrian and rider, than if a pedestrian is hit by a scooter.
Everyone talks about it because that's where the market is.
If you think scooters and electric bicycles are the future, you should liquidate all your assets and start up a scooter/electric bicycle business and if your instincts are right, then you are a billionaire.
You might want to look into what customers want first though. Survey after survey ( in both cities, suburbs and rural areas ) show that americans want big cars - even for the last mile.
And good luck trying to get new yorkers to embrace scooters or electric bicycles when half the year is either extremely humid and hot or dry and freezing.
Not in Silicon Valley where nearly every other car is an EV and riding bikes around here is close to suicide. On my commute from Mountain View to Cupertino, I see hundreds of Tesla’s and I am often the only electric scooter on the road.
Small electric vehicles effectively solve the last mile problem of public transport.