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>somewhere between 0.1 and 1 ExaFlop, we'll probability hit human-level AI

You mean we'll hit human-level processing power in a single computer. The software/modelling part will still be sorely missing.

A promising path seems predictive coding, as popularized in the book "Surfing Uncertainty". Reviewed for example here: https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/09/06/predictive-processing-...




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