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ikeboy
on April 10, 2019
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Nassim Talebs case against Nate Silver is bad math
Arbitrage over time is properly called arbitrage. If the fluctuations are known in advance, then you make a guaranteed profit by trading over time.
ummonk
on April 12, 2019
[–]
Yes, but you don't "know" the fluctuations in advance. You just have educated guesses about how they will mean-revert.
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