Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

No one single instance of an extreme can be used to pinpoint "climate change" , but the absurd statistical deviation from the norm over the last 10 yrs or so is notable and clearly present.

https://www.pnas.org/content/108/44/17905

But sure, lets play devil's advocate.



Your linked paper does not discuss natural disasters at all. How is this an answer to the parent comment’s concerns?


parent comment

>I am also incredibly tired of people banging the climate change drum every time there is a weather anomaly (or even a marginally notable event). In a dynamical system "anomalies" are normal.

linked paper (first sentence)

>We develop a theoretical approach to quantify the effect of long-term trends on the expected number of extremes in generic time series, using analytical solutions and Monte Carlo simulations

"weather anomaly/marginally notable event" signified by the "expected number of extremes"

In this paper, focused on the extreme heat wave in Moscow and linked to other anomolies in recent news https://www.pnas.org/content/108/44/17905#ref-2

The google scholar link/search seems broken, but I remember reading this when it came out in 2011 and covered a wide range of global heat waves in disparate parts of countries, extreme drought, extreme flooding, wild fires, etc.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: