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EVs may well get cheaper than ICE cars.

Battery capacity price in China is already below $100 per kwh.

EVs are simpler to engineer, have lesser parts, and supply chains for them are shorter.

At $5000-6000 per battery pack, the rest of the car will cost around $3000-4000 if you use super duper cheap Chinese steel.

More importantly, switch to electric will facilitate further physical downsizing of cars, and this will further increase the battery/payload mass ratio: EVs don't have to have engine compartment, nor structural tricks to contain heavy wobbly engine block, nor a need to provide a lot of rigidity for heavy mechanical components. A car with less "dead volumes" will of course be cheaper.

This way you may be getting 300km electric ranges even in reasonably cheap EVs in the future.



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