I think it should be obvious that current automation technology will wipe out a very large segment of jobs.
Here's where I think just about everyone is not seeing the full picture. You have all of the major tech companies and many universities and enthusiasts in a global race to create AI that has better abstraction abilities and understands the world better. We don't need to get to something that is exactly like a digital person in order to approach many of the highest level jobs. ML can already automatically create world models. We just need them to be more compositional and accurate. And yet everyone is acting as if this AI race is guaranteed to just sputter out.
The only way this is really about retail workers and truckers is if Bengio, Hinton, LeCun, Deep Mind, Tencent, Baidu, Google, Facebook, Open AI, Amazon, Nnaisence, many other companies, John Carmack, and thousands of independent geniuses all fail. It certainly is possible. But take a look at the papers coming out where they are hammering away at creating better disentangled models and such.
There is no way to predict the future but I think that people are a little too comfortable.
Basic income and the other radical ideas are going to be relevant for everyone. Everyone.
Here's where I think just about everyone is not seeing the full picture. You have all of the major tech companies and many universities and enthusiasts in a global race to create AI that has better abstraction abilities and understands the world better. We don't need to get to something that is exactly like a digital person in order to approach many of the highest level jobs. ML can already automatically create world models. We just need them to be more compositional and accurate. And yet everyone is acting as if this AI race is guaranteed to just sputter out.
The only way this is really about retail workers and truckers is if Bengio, Hinton, LeCun, Deep Mind, Tencent, Baidu, Google, Facebook, Open AI, Amazon, Nnaisence, many other companies, John Carmack, and thousands of independent geniuses all fail. It certainly is possible. But take a look at the papers coming out where they are hammering away at creating better disentangled models and such.
There is no way to predict the future but I think that people are a little too comfortable.
Basic income and the other radical ideas are going to be relevant for everyone. Everyone.