Then the immediate question is, the next time we react early and it turns out we overreacted, is that something you're going to register as well? In particular in authoritarian countries like China which actually have a history of vast overreaction based on a 'security-first' mindset.
Ioannidis actually points to one other example in the article. There are several corona strains already in circulation with fatality rates as high as 8% among the elderly. If this reaction is rational, are we irrational not locking down everything every winter?
Maybe we can just lock things down when we sport extremely dangerous new viruses. It doesn’t seem that tricky to me. I was following this from late December, and it was clear it was a potentially huge risk.
Ioannidis actually points to one other example in the article. There are several corona strains already in circulation with fatality rates as high as 8% among the elderly. If this reaction is rational, are we irrational not locking down everything every winter?