I am curious, where do you think Covid is going to go :)?
Social distancing will get us to less than R1, but then once we open back up it looks like it will grow past R1. It is going to be here until we get a vaccine or herd immunity.
Do you mean where the virus is going to go, or where this situation will go?
Yes, most likely it will not get burnt out in the US until we have vaccine, herd immunity or the 3rd option, which is coalition/state/county level containment.
My comment reflected on the subject of these emergency field hospitals. Its A) not efficient to keep these up for the time being B) its unlikely we will be caught underestimating the virus the 2nd/3rd/xth time around.
And something else to just reiterate. There are multiple steps between "keeping the field hospitals operational" and "shutting them down". Just like there are multiple steps between "social distancing" and "opening back up". :)
Gotcha. I was worried you thought Covid might just disappear or something magically :)
Efficiency is not always the goal in situations like this. It might be wiser for them to be inefficient but prepared, and keep the hospitals up and running. Especially if they have to nationalize the entire health care system to prevent a collapse (even if its temporary).
