That's because there won't be AGI in my or my children's lifetime. We are successfully solving some perceptual problems now, but cognition is so far out of reach, nobody has even started working on it yet.
We went from discovering fission in 1938 to building the bomb in 1945. I think it's entirely possible that AGI won't happen in the next century or maybe even ever, but history is filled with people who say "this can't happen" and are proven horribly wrong.
> but history is filled with people who say "this can't happen" and are proven horribly wrong.
And history is also filled with people who said "this can't happen" and died without ever getting the chance to say "I told you so" 2000 years later when [thing] still hasn't happened
Yes, but then we did not invent much else in this area since then. Computing is fundamentally the same today as it was in the 60's. Sure, transistors are smaller, there's more memory, and clock is in gigaherts, but it's the same paradigm. And this paradigm is not going to take us to AGI even if Moore's law weren't dead for the last decade. Which it is.
Are quantum computers even relevant to AGI? I'm under the impression that the belief that human brains are quantum computers is considered fringe in both computer science and particularly neuroscience, despite having a handful of high profile proponents (notably Penrose.)
