> This sounds like a pretty weak correlation to be honest. Just because a lockdown is officially lifted doesn't mean everyone suddenly reverts to their old behaviors.
The behavior changes vs. policy changes is interesting. Estimates of Rt were falling before the lockdowns and continued falling at about the same rate without any apparent discontinuity through the intervention.
It makes one wonder how effective the policy measures really were-- if they were effective vs. what the population did voluntarily vs. any inherent effects from the structure of the contact network, you'd expect to be able to see some effect in a time series.
The behavior changes vs. policy changes is interesting. Estimates of Rt were falling before the lockdowns and continued falling at about the same rate without any apparent discontinuity through the intervention.
It makes one wonder how effective the policy measures really were-- if they were effective vs. what the population did voluntarily vs. any inherent effects from the structure of the contact network, you'd expect to be able to see some effect in a time series.