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I don't think this necessarily implies a lack of faith in progress. If 1 out of 10 new drugs is a miracle drug, that means it's wise not to place faith in any one trial drug, while still being hopeful that advances are being made overall.


berberous says " If 1 out of 10 new drugs is a miracle drug"

I think this is a very high estimate, possibly off by 4 orders of magnitude or more.




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