The main point of the article is that for trans people our priors are way way off and if we asked ourselves "what's more likely, that I'm trans or that I'm cis?" instead of "am I really sure I'm trans?" then the answer is painfully obvious and the weird doubts we obsess over are nothing compared to the mountain of evidence in support.
https://freethoughtblogs.com/nataliereed/2012/04/17/the-null...
The main point of the article is that for trans people our priors are way way off and if we asked ourselves "what's more likely, that I'm trans or that I'm cis?" instead of "am I really sure I'm trans?" then the answer is painfully obvious and the weird doubts we obsess over are nothing compared to the mountain of evidence in support.