good point, I didn't see that, so its still better than I expected. That being said, The Lottery isn't truly random. Hiring a Master's Degree holder(higher salary than the bachelors student), applying multiple years (Company longevity usually means better financials) and filling out the forms with correctly with a skilled immigration team (again, more financial requirements) all improve the odds. So you're definitely right that the selection bias isn't as bad as I originally thought, but it still seems to be present.