Sounds clever, until you realize you want to predict stuff before it happens | Hacker News

Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit

login

nxpnsv on Sept 15, 2021 | parent | context | favorite | on: Futarchy: Robin Hanson on prediction markets

Sounds clever, until you realize you want to predict stuff before it happens

naasking on Sept 15, 2021 [–]

True, but speculators and those utilizing predictions to guide policy should be separate.

__MatrixMan__ on Sept 15, 2021 | [–]

Why?

If you're not willing to speculate on your own predictions, how can anyone know how confident you are about them?

If you're not interested in guiding policy, why not go bet on horse races instead?

Consider applying for YC's Summer 2025 batch! Applications are open till May 13
Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact