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> The US government will never let its housing market fail,...

Maybe I'm totally missing your point, but didn't exactly this happen in 2008?



The US government came out and said that it would guarantee Freddie's/Fannie's debt which caused a sharp downtick as the government effectively admitted there was a possibility they could go to zero. Short (on the scale we're looking at) downturns, even if large in % terms, aren't a failure of a market. So, to answer your question, no.




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