Fischer-Tropsch with which kind of carbon/hydrogen sources? Hydrogen from electrolysis?
Fischer-Tropsch diesel would allow continued use of existing trucks until their EOL.
> ... Maybe methanol-powered trucks or CNG-powered trucks ...
My guess is that it'll be the liquid (or liquefied; not hydrogen though) fuel that is most universally applicable (different regions of the world with different temperatures, different uses in industries) that will prevail.
Might even be Ammonia because it doesn't require a carbon source to be synthesized.
> For short-distance delivery, battery-powered electric trucks probably work fine ...
I kind of see the point that for short distances BEV have a strong position. But on the other hand my reasoning for that to be somewhat temporary would be: in the long rong, there needs to be some liquid fuel that gets used for long distance. As soon as this liquid fuel becomes cheap enough to be competitive, it will have a huge advantage over BEV that might then chew off even the short distance applications of BEV.
If some liquid fuel were to become cheap enough then it'd be dramatically more flexible to refuel than BEV. Just fill up the tank, it's quick and simple tech. No need to structure your day that's busy (managing work and private life) around charging a vehicle. Also compared to maintaining the charching infrastructure and balancing the load of an electric grid, it's soo much less complex because liquid fuels come with robust load buffering built in.
Fischer-Tropsch with which kind of carbon/hydrogen sources? Hydrogen from electrolysis?
Fischer-Tropsch diesel would allow continued use of existing trucks until their EOL.
> ... Maybe methanol-powered trucks or CNG-powered trucks ...
My guess is that it'll be the liquid (or liquefied; not hydrogen though) fuel that is most universally applicable (different regions of the world with different temperatures, different uses in industries) that will prevail. Might even be Ammonia because it doesn't require a carbon source to be synthesized.
> For short-distance delivery, battery-powered electric trucks probably work fine ...
I kind of see the point that for short distances BEV have a strong position. But on the other hand my reasoning for that to be somewhat temporary would be: in the long rong, there needs to be some liquid fuel that gets used for long distance. As soon as this liquid fuel becomes cheap enough to be competitive, it will have a huge advantage over BEV that might then chew off even the short distance applications of BEV. If some liquid fuel were to become cheap enough then it'd be dramatically more flexible to refuel than BEV. Just fill up the tank, it's quick and simple tech. No need to structure your day that's busy (managing work and private life) around charging a vehicle. Also compared to maintaining the charching infrastructure and balancing the load of an electric grid, it's soo much less complex because liquid fuels come with robust load buffering built in.