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The 1979-1982 interest rate spike was preceded by 15 years of faffing around, playing at raising interest rates, and then chickening out, with a backdrop of rising persistent inflation. I think it's likely to play out exactly as you describe, but that's exactly how it played out in the 70s.

I'm much less certain that it will end the same way, but there are big problems with all the alternatives too (yuan, euro, crypto, gold) so who knows.




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