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I will try to rephrase the argument.

A tulip might not make it to next year per se. I meant a "tulip" as in a value token with little value other than scarcity and speculation.

The USD's purchasing power is bound to go down; there was an 8% increase in M2 supply in the past year, and velocity is constant.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V

As such, if a token has relatively constant supply and demand, its price should go up with the money supply.

The problem is, I agree, that the demand is far from constant. But if you hold them so that their price is not correlated among each other, it might get smoother.

Ray Dalio uses gold and a commodities index in his All-Weather portfolio, in case of inflation.

http://www.lazyportfolioetf.com/allocation/ray-dalio-all-wea...



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