Pick a baseline, like 1970, and call the level of coding productivity based on its contemporary languages, processes & tooling "0% Automated". Wouldn't we already in 2022 be well over "50% automated" perhaps even 80% or 90%? So we may indeed see some improvement in 3 years, but it would be a more accurate perspective to call that a move from 90% to 95% automation or something, not 0 to 51%.
Think about agriculture, for example - based on a preindustrial baseline we are at least 98% automated now. Likely also quite high for textiles and other industrial production. It often seems that in discussions of near-future automation, the vast gains in productivity seen in the past 2 centuries are ignored.
Think about agriculture, for example - based on a preindustrial baseline we are at least 98% automated now. Likely also quite high for textiles and other industrial production. It often seems that in discussions of near-future automation, the vast gains in productivity seen in the past 2 centuries are ignored.