Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login
Review of 17α-ethynylestradiol in water across 32 countries: Estrogenic effects (nih.gov)
112 points by JPLeRouzic on July 30, 2022 | hide | past | favorite | 136 comments



> Another potential contamination of EE2 is aquaculture. Based on a recent investigation, high concentrations of EE2 ranging from <0.3–7.67 ng/L in estuarine water nearby aquaculture activities in Malaysia, were re- ported (Ismail et al., 2019)

Why is aquaculture waste water contributing to EE2 contamination?

What step in aquaculture would create this..


>Another potential contamination

>Why is aquaculture waste water contributing to EE2 contamination?

Why could aquaculture ...

They are not affirming it, they are suggesting a possible link, that is all.


Female fish are generally bigger than male fish and caviar can only be harvested from females.


The example source in the paper is in Malaysia which I think is a bit too warm for sturgeon.


The same process can be applied to many species of fish. I highly recommend finding some Poutargue or Tarama for alternative examples.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bottarga https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taramasalata


I'm concerned this is making numbers here because of fear mongers so I want to run the numbers a bit to

> The top 10 countries ranked in the order of high to low average EE2 concentration in surface water, were Vietnam, Cambodia, China, Laos, Brazil, Argentina, Kuwait, Thailand, Indonesia and Portugal, with the respective mean concentrations of 27.7, 22.1, 21.5, 21.1, 13.6, 9.6, 9.5, 8.8, 7.6 and 6.6 ng/L

Going by Wikipedia, lets see what a does is... "Doses of more than 50 µg EE are considered high-dose, doses of 30 and 35 µg EE are considered low-dose, and doses of 10 to 25 µg EE are considered very low dose"[1] More specifically for transfem use of 2mg orally is considered a low dose[2]

Let's consider that the average person drinks 4 liters of water a day. In Vietnam that's 0.11µg a day, or 1/100th of a normal dose for an estradiol treatment for birth control and 1/20th rate of a "low dose" for MTF transfem usage in the most polluted country.

Do I think this pollutant is fine and not a concern? No. It has other side effects and it's probably not great to have all the compounds we give to livestock running off into our drinking water.

I bring this up because of the right wing fear of the "feminization of men." Vietnam you could get 1/20th a low dose of EE2 a day and whatever you're getting elsewhere less. Where the right wing ideology on this is strongest (US perhaps?) people would be getting a lower dose than even listed in the abstract, so 1/80th or less a day.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethinylestradiol

[2] https://transfemscience.org/articles/e2-equivalent-doses/

----

EDIT: a different comment actually posted a chart showing the level of exposure in the US, which is LESS than 1ng. So less than 1/200th of a low dose. Calm down folks, or at least find something different to be afraid of.


I think it's also worth bearing in mind that œstradiol is not some exclusively “female” hormone: cis men have it in their blood too, just at a lower concentration. In fact, without it, males are infertile!


Estrogen is a 'stress hormone' that needs to be balanced with anti-stress hormones for optimal health.

All the steroids in the body are made from cholesterol. The term is steroidogenesis: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steroid#Steroidogenesis

Estrogen is at the end of the steroidogenesis pathway. It's a stress hormone. In the menstrual cycle, estrogen tells the uterine lining to 'swell and divide'. Fertile women are protected from their higher estrogen levels by their high levels of Progesterone USP during the luteal phase of their menstrual cycle. When women reach menopause, their heart attack numbers rapidly reach men's heart attack numbers.

Adipose tissue has a lot of the aromatase enzyme [0], which converts testosterone to estrogen. People with more adipose tissue lose their testosterone by converting it to estrogen. The heart of both genders concentrates testosterone.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aromatase

[1] Obesity, estrogens and adipose tissue dysfunction – implications for pulmonary arterial hypertension - https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/20458940209520...

I sold a progesterone supplement on Amazon years ago... My best customer was "Billie", who I suspect was MTF and was using progesterone USP to balance his estrogen treatments. I referred him to other manufacturers when he noticed my supplement was no longer available.

Pregnenolone is a useful supplement for balancing the steroid system: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steroid#/media/File:Steroidoge...

(edit: added [1])


Sure but when you’re talking about order of magnitude differences there is a clear delineation and the fear is not unwarranted.


The normal levels are closer then you think. The exact numbers differ depending on what lab you ask, but the normal male range of estradiol in the blood is around 15-55 pg/mL, while the normal healthy female level can vary from 70-500 pg/mL depending on the current stage of the menstrual cycle. Normally that doesn't matter though as most of estradiol's effects are overridden by an overwhelming amount of testosterone


Yes but when the overwhelming majority of women are at >400 pg/ml and men under 20 pg/ml it’s more than an order of magnitude change.


Humans aren't the only thing we should be considering.

Collapse of a fish population after exposure to a synthetic estrogen

"We conducted a 7-year, whole-lake experiment at the Experimental Lakes Area (ELA) in northwestern Ontario, Canada, and showed that chronic exposure of fathead minnow (Pimephales promelas) to low concentrations (5–6 ng·L−1) of the potent 17α-ethynylestradiol led to feminization of males through the production of vitellogenin mRNA and protein, impacts on gonadal development as evidenced by intersex in males and altered oogenesis in females, and, ultimately, a near extinction of this species from the lake."

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1874224/


Ideology doesn't factor into this. There is something in the water that shouldn't be there, and someone put it there---largely without permission. And what constitutes a "low dose" frequently changes by several orders of magnitude depending on who does the study, and who paid for the study.


I agree! I explicitly state that I don't think random pollutants are good in that comment and there could be other reasons to care about it.

I'm merely calling out that the thing most people freak out about with this compound (feminization) is not worth freaking out about.


Something in the water, that doesn't belong there, is worth freaking out about. I don't think you can decide what people decide is important to them.

I'm a woman, and I still don't want it in the water. I certainly don't want my daughter getting hormone imbalances or early irregular puberty either.


[flagged]


[flagged]


How do you feel about people who think climate change is nothing to freak out about? I think empathy is called for here.


Ideology doesn’t factor into this?

Seems odd to say in an era where hormone therapy is being normalized and science is weaponized for ideological purposes regularly.


Dropping testosterone levels and decreasing sperm quality are not a "right wing fear", but a scientific fact, and that should concern everyone: right and left wing, men and women.

Also, to look at this 1 compound in isolation and downplay the significance of it, without considering the cumulative and synergistic effects of all the other xeno estrogens we are exposed to on a daily basis is irresponsible.


> not a "right wing fear", but a scientific fact

Of course it's both, with the kernel of scientific fact being hyped and exaggerated by the right.

It's important to call this out so people can evaluate whether the discussion is in good faith or if it's part of an information operation.


No, what's important is the truth or falsehood of a given claim. To attack the messenger, or to put focus on the messenger, is a dangerous path that leads to the deep divides we see, where reality seems just subjective to entire groups of people. It also contributes to a society more concerned about whether a fact is convenient or not for one's belief system, as opposed to an inquiry by a hungry mind which seeks to understand the world as-is (an ideal we should be fostering as intelligent people, for the good of society).

This is more religious-inspired thinking than protecting the world from what you call an information operation. Ironically those institutions do the same thing in reverse (omitting or cherry picking facts to fit narrative).


You are correct in normal circumstances, but when there is an active information operation in progress, people should be aware of that so they can evaluate claims in that light.


It is not a myth. There are serious concerns about the drop of testosterone levels in men - as much as 25% from the 1980s.

https://www.urologytimes.com/view/testosterone-levels-show-s...

Also, sperm count in men has dropped around 59% from the 1970s and so infertility among men is at an all time high: https://nypost.com/2021/02/20/why-more-men-are-suffering-fro...


Who said it's a myth? Who are you arguing with?


Touche


The important thing to take away is that “right wing” talking point or not there is a genuine reason to be concerned here.


> I bring this up because of the right wing fear of the "feminization of men."

The secular testosterone decline in the west is absolutely incontrovertibly real. The error is looking for a single cause to pin a civilizational scale endocrine disruption event to.


Which can also be related to the mass decrease in exercise and other activities which are known to increase testosterone in men, and rapid increases in stress and sedentary behaviors that are known to decrease it.

Not saying the chemicals aren’t contributing, but our lifestyle is terrible and it has been getting that way rapidly and over a relatively short period of time (a generation).


The rabbit hole is very deep. Our diet has changed (e.g. nutrient deficiencies, take one out, there is a knock-on effect), we have been exposed to more pollution which is absorbed through our skin and lungs, etc.

Lifestyle changes too.. a great example is the legislative mandate for flame retardants. I feel they are used excessively. Flame retardants don't just go away. If your cushion or whatever gets older and starts to break down slowly, you bet those dust particles include flame retardants and you breath it in.


Point. Basically 15 years(?) of mass computerization of work?

Whereas previous much more of it was physical, at least to the extent of moving around the office.


I agree there is no single isolated cause but multiple factors of declining testosterone levels. Body fat and obesity is also linked to reduced testosterone levels, and lifestyle in western countries (the US in particular) leads to more and more overweight and obese population. So if you are concerned about your testosterone levels, and immediate step you can take is to reduce your body fat.


There nothing right wing about this concern. As a progressive man I don’t want to be feminized, it’s terrifying, both at the personal and species level.


[flagged]


Because there is a bell curve defining how a typical body is supposed to be and man-made chemicals in the water are causing deviations from that? Why isn’t that terrifying to you?


> The top 10 countries ... were Vietnam, Cambodia, China, Laos, Brazil, Argentina, Kuwait, Thailand, Indonesia and Portugal...

in many of those countries people drink bottled or purified (not surface) water.


The average person in most of those countries drinks tap water, either boiled or filtered to varying levels of efficiency.

In addition, fish are often caught in surface water, livestock may drink it, etc.


dude, you're right, my mistake. i was thinking of how i travel through those places.


>More specifically for transfem use of 2mg orally is considered a low dose

That refers to "regular" estradiol. Ethinylestradiol is much more powerful. You can't compare doses 1:1.


> I bring this up because of the right wing fear of the "feminization of men."

> Where the right wing ideology on this is strongest (US perhaps?)

I can’t imagine the confusion that would lead someone to conclude that “feminization of men” is a “right wing fear” that is perhaps “strongest” in the US? The US has among the loosest gender norms of any place in the world, including a number of European countries.

In the other countries you mentioned, like China, Kuwait, etc., traditional gender norms aren’t even “right wing”—because that would imply they’re even up for debate: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-55926248


I would say this is more about gender roles than gender norms, particularly women’s place in social status / power hierarchy.

It is a fact our increasingly connected world favors some traits that have been traditionally thought of as feminine, such as high emotional intelligence, openness, and agreeableness; and people are adapting. All this anxiety about feminization of men - and masculinization of women - is just useless gnashing of teeth from those who are having trouble coping with rapid change brought on by technological advancement.


I agree with you. What I’m perplexed by is this implication that the US isn’t one of the handful of countries leading the charge on breaking down gender roles and norms. (In large part because the economic changes you speak of haven’t reached other countries. Gender roles driven by the physical demands of subsistence agriculture are still the reality of life for most people.) As if folks in Asia and Africa are sitting around reading Judith Butler.


I’m not sure that a comparison of US to places like Afghanistan or the African bush are the most apt. Maybe some place that is closer to being a peer in terms of technological advancement / adoption like Iran, Korea, Brazil, Russia, or Singapore would make more sense?

The big irony for the US is that the people who are fretting about the “feminization of men” are the same who deny global warming; while technological advancement, increasing connectedness - i.e. rapid movement of matter and information - and global warming are all one singular spacetime event.

But that is a digression. There are certainly many places with less progressive than the US, though I am not sure how strong the average backlash is across places that are closer to the US in terms of technological adoption.


> I’m not sure that a comparison of US to places like Afghanistan or the African bush are the most apt. Maybe some place that is closer to being a peer in terms of technological advancement / adoption like Iran, Korea, Brazil, Russia, or Singapore would make more sense?

Those countries have far more conservative views on gender roles, among ordinary people, than the US. I don’t think there’s a single country in Asia or Africa where the median view on gender roles wouldn’t be to the right of your median American Republican.

> But that is a digression. There are certainly many places with less progressive than the US, though I am not sure how strong the average backlash is across places that are closer to the US in terms of technological adoption.

“Progressive” American views on gender would be outside the Overton window in most of the world. There is no “backlash” because there is no meaningful effort to mainstream progressive ideas on gender. There is nothing to react to.

I’m really not sure what you are trying to achieve by misrepresenting the social norms in those countries.


The US is currently experiencing a hangover from the social effects of the cold war. The intentional construction of a christo-national subjective identity as a counterbalance to the atheistic Russian communists continues to reverberate in the socio-political sphere. There are some obvious contradictions when this meets the business world like, "shouldn't businesses with feminine cultural practices outcompete masculinized corpos?", but I'd argue this is currently being played out in trenches of office politics in the micro and labor vs capital in the macro. If we embark on a process of self-selection into dichotomous gendered organizations I'd expect this to crystalize into more tangible, but it's too early to tell and business/orgs don't have coherent messaging even if they wanted to leverage this into an advantage so it ends up being sublimated into typical ineffectual neoliberal posturing.


Traditional gender roles aren’t a creation of “Christo-nationalistic subjective identity.”

Maybe that’s what’s responsible for OP’s confusion—the belief that Reagan invented these notions about gender, and they’re not near universal outside a handful of countries populated by descendants of Europeans?


Yup, even the "atheistic Russian communists" mentioned in parent post have held on to remarkably traditional ideas about gender roles, and this was in a context of promoting high female achievement in education, work and society in general.


Forget Afghanistan or Russia. 60% of Dutch women who work do so part time: https://www.oecd.org/social/part-time-and-partly-equal-gende...


they probably assume it because Republicans say it out loud.


Only because what you would call a “Republican take” on gender norms in the US is “common knowledge” nearly everywhere in Asia or Africa. You should hear my mom complain how my dad “doesn’t do man’s work, just laptop.” And she qualifies as a feminist in Bangladesh!


> In the other countries you mentioned, like China, Kuwait, etc., traditional gender norms aren’t even “right wing”—because that would imply they’re even up for debate:

Yet another reason why left/right dichotomy is useless.


There is a common trend in the USA or right wing people (generally men) complaining about soy products and the supposed estrogen content that they think is causing widespread hormonal changes in men, despite soy phytoestrogens being the wrong kind of estrogen to do anything and being at extremely low levels.

EDIT: I’m just citing a factual cultural phenomenon in the USA. Look here is a source: https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/soy-boy


Progress begets reaction. Reactionary is more often associated with right wing.


That's a bit misleading. One of the major issues is that we have a food chain, in which these chemicals can become concentrated and yes at higher concentrations it would feminize men, or earlier puberty in young girls.

At the same time, we have radical increases in transgendered humans, and earlier puberty in young girls worldwide. Correlation isn't causation, but its often a place to start running experiments looking at causation.


Am I the only lunatic that drinks almost exclusively bottled water? I've done so since I was a child.


Doing so seems incredibly wasteful and pollution-generating. A filter pitcher like a Brita + a reusable water aluminum/glass/steel/whatever water bottle seems like it'd be a better substitute.


Doesn't it add (chemical) salts in water to remove impurities such as calcium? [0] Can't those salts create hypertension [1] ?

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ion-exchange_resin#Water_purif...

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypertension


If you're worried about water quality you're much better off drinking filtered tap water. Most bottled water is just municipal water with extra trash.


It's primarily for taste. I can't stand the taste of tap water, anywhere. While everyone seems used to it, the chlorine and chemical flavors, sometimes bordering on slightly sweet, are repulsive.


If tap water tastes sweet, there is probably lead in it.


Where do you think the water in those bottles comes from exactly?


What are you implying? San Pellegrino, Evian, etc - I'd expect less garbage in it than municipal water. Why would spring sources be contaminated in the same way?


> Nearly 64% of bottled water in the U.S. comes from municipal tap water sources. Which means we often pay for water that we could drink for free from our tap. Companies that sell bottled tap water, collect the water and treat it before bottling.

https://waterpurificationguide.com/brands-of-bottled-water-t...


The two examples above aren't in the 64%.


Reverse osmosis.


Apparently everyone is downvoting everything they can because this is a sensitive topic. I'd just like to call out, where feminization is a major concern (US, maybe Europe), there is less than 1ng/L of this compound in water, see elsewhere on this thread for the graphic.

The lowest dose of EE2 for trans-women is 2mg a day orally. That means whatever the dosage is in the US it's less than 1/10th* of what trans folk find actually useful. That's based off drinking 4 liters of water a day, lord knows most people don't drink that though.

In summary: US and Europe folks don't need to care about this and if you see a news story hyping this compound up, it's probably just that: hype.

*EDIT: I had a couple mistakes here:

- EE2 is not estrogen and can be considered ~100x more effective

- 1ng / 1mg is 1000th not 100th.


Trans women typically take E2 (bioidentical estrogen), not EE2. EE2 is 100 times more potent than E2 for certain endocrine interactions. Unlike E2, EE2 is not a naturally occurring hormone. E2 causes female puberty when administered to males (except for menstruation), but EE2 isn’t necessarily going to do the same thing because it is a different molecule. While worrying about “feminizing” is probably hype, worrying about possible effects such as infertility seems totally reasonable.


Back in the day ('70s and '80s i think), trans women used to take synthetic estrogens (such as premarin, IIRC was the drug of choice) before switching to bioidentical estrogen from estradiol tablets in the '90s and '00s, I think because bioidentical E is seen as more effective with a softer side effect profile than the synthetics, in particular bioidentical doesn't hurt the liver as much.

Drinking horse piss in the 70s sure was metal though. ("pre-mar-in" = "pregnant mare urine," a source of estrogen since 1930).

(folk knowledge and personal anecdata)


Permarin was made into pills, not drank directly. Permarin is a conjugate estrogen (mix of natural estrogens). It had a higher risk of blood clots than pure E2. However it was not EE2.


It's still not that bad though, because the math is off. 4 ng is about 250,000x less than the smallest E2 dose a trans woman would take, and 2 million times less than the strongest doses some take.


Thank you for the correction!


This still sounds concerning to me, if the dose is 2mg for a healthy adult what is it for children and infants? What about babies in the womb?

We saw the same exact thing with PFAS/PFOA, the experts said it was harmless, present in impossibly small quantities, and it would "pass right through you" for literally years. But then it turned out the experts were completely wrong. They found 2000PPM of PFAS in my Mom's well in New Hampshire, out in in the country, miles away from a Teflon factory that leaked into the water supply. She found it after hundreds of dollars of testing when I told her she should be paranoid.


Also it's not just endocrine disruption. Forever chemicals and microplastics can lodge in muscle and cause accumulated damage as the body tries to encapsulate it to keep from getting injured. And the circulatory system where it can clog arteries/veins/capillaries and cut off circulation. The images in this paper show plastic fibers embedded in fish muscle:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004896971...

Maybe most particles are too large to cross the intestinal lining, but can they prove that's still the case with "leaky gut" which a large number of people in the US are susceptible to due to the missing fiber in our diet? What about worse inflammation like IBS, IBD, Crohn's disease and diverticulitis?

https://nypost.com/2021/12/23/irritable-bowel-syndrome-linke...

We eat a credit card's worth of microplastic every week, mostly coming from our water supply apparently. This is the kind of news whose implications are so serious that it's much easier to just ignore it!


> We eat a credit card's worth of microplastic every week, mostly coming from our water supply apparently

There ia a lot written about this online but they always skim over the detail of how humans actually ingest this.

Do you have any source that explains that the source is mostly via our water supply?


Shoot I can't remember where I read that offhand. I did find this paper:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6449537/

In figure 1, untreated tap water ranked higher than bottled water in plastic particle count per unit volume. They conclude that standardization of micro plastic analysis and more studies are needed.

It's said that we should never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity, but, the plastics lobby has so much power that suggesting they had nothing to do with our ignorance of this issue is.. laughable at best.


>We eat a credit card's worth of microplastic every week

No, we don't. Here is a 4 minute video explaining how this bit of misinformation came to be spread across the internet. https://youtu.be/2Ntp6BqhSng


Thanks for that, I hadn't seen it, so I'll stop ranting about eating plastic until I see new evidence. Also I'm a big fan of Hank Green, but his proof is still just one data point in a mountain of evidence to the contrary. I feel that microplastics are a symptom of deregulation and lack of enforcement of existing laws, mostly due to the factory farming lobby:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aPbF45-ZB5M


For this specific chemical, it actually has been studied since at least 1943[1] and used in a few different medical contexts. That mean it has a leg on some random pollutant never considered for medicinal use.

Does that mean it's great in drinking water? No... but I think we shouldn't just jump from one type of catastrophizing to the next. There's endless questions we can ask to scare ourselves, but maybe it's a better use of our time to point that concern on things which we already know or damaging our kids, like: lead in drinking water, malnutrition, lack of affordable pre school options, etc etc.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethinylestradiol


2000 PPM is 0.2% or one-in-fivehundred, right? That’s massive pollution. My layman’s logic would suggest you need to dump 0.2% of total aquifer volume of 100% PFAS to reach that level? And then I expect pollution to spread in a semi-sphere unless there are rocky sediments. Edit: thinking more about water, perhaps you can dump less in wetter conditions and then in a drought get higher values because PFAS won’t evaporate. But still, it suggests tons and tons of dumping?


It sounds like the Teflon plant has been dumping their polymerization process water into the environment, much like what happened in Parkersburg, WV.


The forever chemicals like those are absolutely awful.

Fracking is another source of chemicals into water supplies.


If just drinking water gives you 10% of the dose that a trans person would seek medically, that seems like an incredibly high amount. Your post seems to reinforce concerns, not dissolve them.


I agree here. It bothers me to see people try to defend a contaminant in the water supply.


Another important point is that trans women typically start on an antiandrogen as well as an estradiol supplement. Testosterone's effects are orders of mag stronger than estrogen, so trans women typically have to take drastic measures to significantly reduce testosterone first so the estrogen can work, such as taking large amounts of spironolactone or cyproterone acetate or orchiectomy; without these measures, estrogen isn't nearly as effective. You don't exactly see much spironolactone in the water supply! (Personal anecdata)


> I'd just like to call out, where feminization is a major concern (US, maybe Europe)

What’s that supposed to mean? The article shows the rates in Southeast Asia are 10 times higher than the US. I can assure you that “feminization” would be a much more significant concern there than in the US or Europe.


I believe they mean the fear of feminization.


i think OP's two points are that

1. backlash against "feminization of men" is something that people seem to care about more in the USA than other countries (HN audiences skew toward this population anyway);

2. these days, right-wing extremists in my country (USA) see "feminization of men" as a politically beneficial wedge issue, and this politicization makes it impossible to study the actual societal effects impartially/neutrally.


> backlash against "feminization of men" is something that people seem to care about more in the USA than other countries

Only because in most countries the established gender norms are taken for granted and aren’t being challenged.


Not really. Gender norms are being challenged pretty much everywhere. They certainly are in the Islamic world, in East Asia (including China), and in South America, which is most of the world.

Just because they didn't change in the same way or magnitude as they did in the West as of now doesn't mean they aren't being challenged - they very much are.


Asia, the Middle East and South America skipped the giving rights to women part and have jumped straight to the backlash against it in sync with what’s happening in the west. I’m not even joking.


In my home country, "challenging gender norms" means "maybe women should go to school and participate in the work force." They're covering territory that western countries covered decades ago. By contrast, the reaction in America is to progressives who want to push us into uncharted territory ("gender is a spectrum").

It's very odd to suggest that America is more right wing than other countries for the backlash against progressive ideas that are gaining traction in America but would not even be viable in those other countries.


>So in the end the number is less than 1/20th.

even for fully-grown adults it is an extremely alarming figure.

god only knows the full extent of damage done to children by this and other phytoestrogens.


Your math is a bit off. 4 liters would be 4 nanograms, which is 250,000 times less than a trans woman would take (in the milligrams, not micrograms)


Is there any accumulation in food? Is it heat stable to survive cooking?


If you live in the US lead* is probably a far greater concern, and that sure does survive cooking.


This is a diversion, not a direct answer to the question asked.


s/led/lead/ ?


2 obvious questions (because I can't penetrate this stuff)

Is this feminizing our population?

Does this affect the way we think?


I have no idea why this was posted without full-text available, but there is at least this: https://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S03014797210086...

I guess if you live in South America or China, then maybe the population is being feminized. Otherwise, no, at least not by this.


Indeed, + thank you. PS: Benelux-based reader here, I can see my country is not in the top-10 but that's about it, what they call "high-res" isn't!


> “Antractica”

The porbelm si?


What does feminizing mean?


To expand on the Wikipedia article of a peer comment:

- feminine features such as gynocomastia (used to be very rare, now quite common)

- decrease in sperm counts across the male population, which has been well documented.

- statistically significant decreases in traditionally male ‘problems’ (violent crime being one obvious one), but also aggressiveness in general. Well documented, but there are many possible causes there.

- behaviors that change from stereotypical male behaviors (which female->male trans folks I’ve know say were clearly from testosterone) towards more female ones. Including aggressive seeking of sex, towards general ‘meh’.

As to what is causing it or why, who knows - but that’s what it means, and it does seem to be a thing.


My personal feeling on the decreases in violence and crime that it is very plausibly a lagging indicator showing the effect of the phase-out of leaded gasoline, paint, etc.

It is well documented that people with lead exposure during their developmental period have problems including more predisposition to violence and crime.



Breasts on men at a higher rate per capita, is a portion.


[flagged]


Yes, it does feminize the population. Just the other day I saw this guy being all hysterical about an article. Here:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32286142#32286827


[flagged]


[flagged]


One day a few years ago, just as I reached my flat, a young child looked at me, turned to their mother and said “Mommy, mommy, is that a boy or a girl?”, because my combination pony tail and facial hair confused them.

A few grown men have had the same problem, beginning a wolf-whistle when they saw me from behind only to abort part way through as they saw the front of my face.


Wolves don’t whistle though, at least cat’s actually call.

I get what you’re trying to do, but come on.


I have no idea what you think I'm trying to do, because "sharing relevant life stories" isn't something I'd expect to get this reaction.


This whole exchange is hilarious.


You're not as clever as you think you are.


Yes it is


[flagged]


Not really. EE2 is used in birth control but the spike in people being transgender (or being openly transgender, at least) does not line up with the adoption of EE2 BC (which started in the 1960s - if that was the case you’d expect to see a bunch of transgender people who grew up around then, so ages 50-70). Further, spikes in EE2 cannot explain the prevalence of female-to-male transgender people.


[flagged]


Possibly - although it still doesn’t explain FTMs. “Society got more accepting” seems like a much simpler theory that explains the rise in trans people. Doesn’t mean environmental estrogen isn’t a health risk, though.


It's not taboo.


It was back then. And still is in many places


[flagged]


If lead pollution made people kinder, it feels to me like lead pollution would still be a bad thing.

While I got the same impression as you from that comment, HN's guidelines[0] say:

> Please respond to the strongest plausible interpretation of what someone says, not a weaker one that's easier to criticize. Assume good faith.

[0]: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html


> Please respond to the strongest plausible interpretation of what someone says, not a weaker one that's easier to criticize. Assume good faith.

Sounds like an easy way to encourage trolls (it is).


Strongest as in "most sound", not as in "most inflammatory".


Right. I was using

> Have curious conversation; don't cross-examine.


I've got no strong opinions, but some trans people I'm friends with have struggled with feelings that no matter what they do, they will never be able to be happy with their bodies and how others see them. For some trans women I know, they tell me that femininity can feel like the plot of 1/x, getting closer and closer to the destination but never reaching it. One told me she wouldn't wish being trans on her worst enemy.

I'm not sure, but I think the DSM-5 classifies gender dysphoria as a disorder, one that's best treated by proving the resources for transition and social acceptance (if desired by the patient). But if the feeling were caused by some kind of chemical contaminant, and removing the contaminant caused feelings of gender dysphoria to go away, I think many people who would otherwise transition would prefer that route. So in that sense, if there really is a contaminant, it and our current lack of knowledge of it would be a disaster.


[flagged]


As ridiculous as it is, this one is very likely true.

For a thorough review, see ”Gay Frogs: A Deep Dive” by Oki’s Weird Stories: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i5uSbp0YDhc


Why was the parent comment banned? People don't wanna tip the "Alex Jones was right" jar, or something?


I swear, everyone in my part of the US had massive hair shedding around 2018 or so (man and woman, young and old). We speculated at the time that maybe something in the water supply was causing everyone to lose hair in clumps, and by golly this appears to match with our pet theories.


The study actually shows the exact opposite. It looks at levels by country, and the US levels were less than 1 ngE2/L, meaning "no risk".

https://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S03014797210086...


Estrogen doesn't cause hair loss in general.


Hormonal disruption does, though.


It's common folk knowledge in my trans community that HRT often stops or in some cases partially reverse hair loss. See [1] for a case study, for example. Testosterone is correlated with hair loss and I could see how increasing T would worsen it, but blocking testosterone and increasing estrogen does have the opposite effect.

1: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5367483/


I'm going off of what the cancer doc has told various family members, especially that they're hesitant to use hormone therapy for cancer patients due to the wide amount of negative consequences that come from getting your hormones out of whack.


Of course, such treatment has many side effects. It's just that hair loss isn't a side effect of estrogen that's common enough that everyone in a town would suffer it. In all likelihood some other cause or contaminant led to this.


Maybe grandparent is confusing estrogen with dihydrotestosterone.


Confirm. Had massive hair loss in 2018, up to half my head was bald, the back and sides included. I've been fighting it ever since, with regular injections of steroids required to stop the loss.

I was in upper midwest US, Eastern seaboard, and Los Angeles at various times that year.

But I don't see how this connects to the article.


Does the paper reference 2018 somewhere? I see a few comments related to 2018, but I can't seem to access the paper, and I'm not seeing any timelines.


That's interesting, which part of the US is it, and does anyone have hard evidence of that trend?

Only one datapoint, but: the outer half of my eyebrows fell out in 2018 just before my digestive issues flared up and I burned out in the spring of 2019. I wondered if maybe radiation from Fukushima affected my thyroid, since radiation levels in southern Idaho were 80 times normal before they quit reporting them.

I've since made a full recovery, but it took 3 years and endless research where it felt like I was losing my wits at times. I feel now that our health actually comes from our gut, so a multivitamin and a daily low-dose "stress" B vitamin, along with twice the water we think we need, and about 4 times the fiber (in the US at least) and greens mix or fresh leafy vegetables, is critical to maintain health in today's age where so much produce is lacking vitamins and minerals due to depleted soils.

I know several people who went through autoimmune issues around that time and now can no longer eat wheat without consequences like weight gain to severe GI distress. I feel like I developed lactose intolerance, so maybe a toxin got concentrated in milk. It's probably just middle age though.


It was everyone I know in Indiana and South Carolina, so it appears to have been wide spread. Some were spared, but this was notably pre-COVID. I wouldn't be surprised if it isn't directly the chemical mentioned in this study, but a multifactor issue. My key point is that out hunch was "what could be leaking into the water or food supply to cause this?" I always leaned more toward the microplastic theory, but that brings us back to endocrine disruption yet again. As for hard evidence, I'm afraid my accounts are colloquial at the moment, but the increase of hairloss products aimed at young men (ie Keeps) should point a curious mind in the right direction.


Another, big reason why hairloss products are aimed at young men is that the current crop of hairloss treatments are drastically more effective if you take them before you undergo any hair loss.


True, but these youth campaigns only started recently. I guarantee you that a rogaine advertisement from the 90s to the 2000s will feature middle aged actors and a narrator with a robust voice.


I just checked Google trends for the phrase "hair loss" localized to South Carolina. The graph doesn't point to any trend that starts in 2018 as far as I can tell. I could be wrong.

UPDATE: I checked for "hair loss" localized to the United States on Google trends. There appears to be an upward trend after 2015. I am not drawing any conclusions, just wanted to point that out.




Join us for AI Startup School this June 16-17 in San Francisco!

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: