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Given the ridiculous number of oligarchs getting defenestrated of late, it doesn’t seem Putin has lost his ability to cow them.

The USA would be entirely right not to trust Germany, but the risks of blowback should it be caught would make it too risky, and Biden doesn’t strike me as a gambler, unlike some.

Ukraine would be a good potential suspect but probably doesn’t have the capability. China could also be, turning Russia into a permanent vassal state would have its advantages, but it’s far-fetched.

This reminds me of the persons unknown who have been sabotaging Egyptian undersea fiber optic cables.



> but the risks of blowback should it be caught would make it too risky

It's the same risk for every suspect, so it's not really a counterpoint.


Russia has already been caught lying about serious things without fazing their believers one bit.


Russia, as in Russia? Or Russia as in Putin?


But the risk aversion of each suspect is not the same.




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