4. By looking at the math score distribution (see full report) one can estimate how many students in each group are well-prepared enough to complete a rigorous STEM major -- e.g., pass calculus-based physics.
Doubt it. Calculus based physics at a university level is a tough SOB. Vectors, dels, series, operators, etc. SAT math is kid's play by comparison, the conceptual leap is huge. Yeah, it is predictive to some degree, but high level physics will tax even top scorers. Maybe on the old SATs it was more predictive but the SATs have gotten easier with lower ceiling.
Doubt it. Calculus based physics at a university level is a tough SOB. Vectors, dels, series, operators, etc. SAT math is kid's play by comparison, the conceptual leap is huge. Yeah, it is predictive to some degree, but high level physics will tax even top scorers. Maybe on the old SATs it was more predictive but the SATs have gotten easier with lower ceiling.