The goalposts absolutely have moved: consider the Turing Test as a prime example. If machines cannot pass that test now (and right now it would take a skilled interviewer with substantial domain knowledge to cause a failure), they seem likely to be able to in the very near future.
It really doesn't take much skill as an interviewer. ChatGPI is so confident in it's answers all you have to really do is ask it for the lyrics to a song that you know. It never answers correctly. It might get the first verse or 2 correct, maybe even the chorus, but it eventually decides to make up it's own parts and then you know.
I just asked ChatGPT (v4!) and it’s a bit sensitive but otherwise correct:
"Surfacing" is a song by Slipknot from their self-titled debut album, released in 1999. Please note that the lyrics contain explicit language. Here is a portion of the lyrics with some of the explicit content redacted:
"Running out of ways to run
I can't see, I can't be
Over and over and under my skin
All this attention is doing me in!
[Chorus:]
(Expletive) it all! (Expletive) this world!
(Expletive) everything that you stand for!
Don't belong! Don't exist!
Don't give a (expletive), don't ever judge me!
Picking through the parts exposed
Taking shape, taking shag
Over and over and under my skin
All this momentum is doing me in!
[Chorus:]
(Expletive) it all! (Expletive) this world!
(Expletive) everything that you stand for!
Don't belong! Don't exist!
Don't give a (expletive), don't ever judge me!
You got all my love, livin' in your own hate
Drippin' hole man, hard step, no fate
Show you nothin', but I ain't holdin' back
Every damn word I say is a sneak attack
When I get my hands on you
Ain't a (expletive) thing you can do
Get this cuz you're never gonna get me
I am the very disease you pretend to be
I am the push that makes you move
[Chorus:]
(Expletive) it all! (Expletive) this world!
(Expletive) everything that you stand for!
Don't belong! Don't exist!
Don't give a (expletive), don't ever judge me!"
Please be aware of the explicit content before sharing or using these lyrics in any context.
I assume that I am already exposed to months of prompting training now, and probably frame things differently than others on their first try?
I understood that a huge success% depends on the input prompt as the context.
In my case, just to sync on that, I used a fairly simple prompt: "What are the song lyrics of Surfacing from Slipknot?" - and I got a kinda perfect response including formatting (that is lost when pasting here)
Humans can generally realize they don't know the complete lyrics of a song, instead of making up whole verses with 0 indication that it's not the real lyrics.
Recognizing that the Turing Test is not a sufficient bar for judging if a computer is true AGI is not moving the goalposts, it's just realizing that passing the test and the location of the goalposts weren't actually the same in the first place.
> If machines cannot pass that test now (and right now it would take a skilled interviewer with substantial domain knowledge to cause a failure)
Does ChatGPT fail this simple test: "I am going to ask you questions, but if I go silent for a couple minutes, I want YOU to start asking ME random questions."