I'm pretty sure the reason human physical labour hasn't been replaced yet in many areas isn't because AI tech hasn't advanced sufficiently - there are real engineering challenges in automating physical interactions with the real world that it's hard to see how ever more advanced LLMs will help much with (though they could certainly assist in the design process).
That humans are still needed to cook/assemble burgers or peel veggies is in some ways more surprising than the code and language generation capabilities of ChatGPT.
> physical labour hasn't been replaced yet in many areas isn't because AI tech hasn't advanced sufficiently
I’m a robotics engineer. There are two options. AI can either replace all jobs or it can’t.
If it can then we are all out of a job, and then the next project is how to organise society such that everyone can live a good and fulfilling life in harmony.
If it can’t, for whatever reason, then that is the next thing I will be personally working on. Simple as that.
Because of this I don’t see how would it be possible to run out of programing jobs before running out of all the other jobs first.
You are talking about ChatGPT, and LLMs, but what i am saying transcends particular technologies.
They’re held back by robotics and energy storage more than anything. How would chatgpt paint my wall or fix my sink or install electrical wiring in my house?
It's worth wondering though how long it will before ChatGPT could give you complete instructions for building a machine/robot capable of doing any of those things...or better still, building a factory that can churn out millions of such machines...
