No, that's just noise generated by the Russians and Belarus and then picked up by the press to make it sound dramatic. This is par for the course for Russian disinfo.
So far there are some troops near the Polish border, and a possible helicopter incursion. There's not a lot that civilions could see unless they lived right on the border.
If I lived on the border, I'd be upset, too. However, this isn't very far from standard Russian way of doing things. They regularly invade air space of various NATO countries, maybe just to test their fighters, maybe to introduce some tension, who knows. The routine is that our fighters escort the intruders back to where they came from. In this case, since the military training was communicated well in advance and the army was expected their aircraft near the border, nobody even bothered. Funnily enough, the last news from Belarus indicate that it might be in fact an accident, not planned action.
Wars can get started by stupid shit like this. I'm definitely not laughing. All it needs is one incident like what happened over Turkey. That one blew over but with the present climate I'm not so sure it will.
The whole story is quite interesting. After Lukashenko falsified the elections (again) and Belorussians went on the streets (for the first time with such an intensity), in the end Lukashenko decided to fight for his life and visited Putin to get his support. After that, the protests were brutally ended, people dead or in prisons, and Lukashenko came from Moscow with full Putin support. But also with two strings attached: the first was organized transport of people from Africa etc. to Minsk and then to the forests near the borders with Poland and Lithuania. The other one was letting Putin use his land for attacks on Ukraine (which backfired in various ways; one of them was the rise of Belorussian resistance movement among railway workers who regularly sabotaged Russian railway transport near the border in Ukraine).
So the interesting question here that many people ask is, what game is Lukashenko playing here? I saw many comments that he just pretends he is stupid but in fact he is quite intelligent and he's doing what he can to keep his country as far away from war as possible. At the same time, he needs some tension and external enemy to help him keep the power (at least among the ~20% of Belorussians who actually believe the official propaganda and support him).
I very much hope I will live long enough to see the day when Belorussians finally get their freedom in a peaceful way and can enjoy living in peace, doing business with other countries and just be happy. I know many of them, they are very nice people, it's such a pity they need to go through this shit.
> I very much hope I will live long enough to see the day when Belorussians finally get their freedom in a peaceful way
Seconded. I had such high hopes that they could push it through the last time around and what really irks me is that there are enough Belorussians still that keep this jackass in power, and that they will prioritize their own financial well being over their fellow citizens' lives. I was in Poland during the Solidarity uprising and I had such high hopes for the rest of the SovBloc but not everybody managed to take advantage of the momentum. Ironically, distance from German capital seems to have been a prime factor in the outcome.
