I think there is a lot more speculation than knowledge, even about the timing of the existence of AGI. As our discussion shows, it is very difficult to agree on some common ground truth of the situation.
Btw., we also don't have special controls around very smart people at present (but countries did at times and we generally frown upon that). The fear here combines some very high unspecified level of intelligence, some ability to evade, some ability to direct the physical world and more - so complex set of circumstances.
Btw., we also don't have special controls around very smart people at present (but countries did at times and we generally frown upon that). The fear here combines some very high unspecified level of intelligence, some ability to evade, some ability to direct the physical world and more - so complex set of circumstances.