Typing this from Moscow, over OpenVPN. I have been around the country over the last year and am yet to experience protocol-level blocks (although there are credible reports this happened, just not in my experience). It seems like the current wave is about blocking popular providers. Folks with own server, like myself, are not a target so far.

I'd expect the government to cool down expansive internet censorship until the "elections" in March, since hitting the preapproved outcome figures will be harder this way.