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Psh. Things are not static. Progress sucks now. Haven't you heard of enshitification? You can always look back and say, "see? I told you it would suck in the future!"

...why am I feeling to urge to point out that I am only making a joke here and not trying to make an actual counter point, even if one can be made...?



I commented on this elsewhere, but being a negative Nancy is really a winning strategy.

If you’re negative and you get it wrong, nobody cares, get it and right you look like a damn genius. Conversely, if you’re positive and get it wrong, you look like an idiot and if you’re right you’re praised for a good call once. The rational “game theory” choice is to predict calamity.


Yeah it’s funny that optimism in the long term is optimal and pessimism in the short term is optimal.


Right, but I think people sometimes get the “what constitutes long term” factor a little bit wrong.

I am still talking to a lot of people who say, “what can any of this AI stuff even do?” It’s like, robots you could hold a conversation with effectively didn’t exist 3 years ago and you’re already upset that it’s not a money tree?

I think that peoples expectation horizon narrowing down may be the clearest evidence that we’re in the singularity.




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